Never say never
Giannis - 15th pick
Kawhi - 15th pick
Tiny Gallon - 47th pick
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Klay "Top 75 Striver" - 11th pick
Bam Adebayo - 14th pick
Devin Booker - 13th pick
Paul George - 10th pick
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Zach LaVine - 13th pick
Mikal Bridges - 10th pick
Donovan Mitchell - 13th pick
Haliburton - 12th pick
MPJ - 14th pick
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Sengun - 16th pick
Earl Clark - 14th pick
Among others in the last 15 years...
There's FOR SURE players in the 10-16 range that don't pan out, but... This range can absolutely have some difference making players. Giannis and arguably Kawhi are the main two from that range in the last 15 years or so that attained the superstar level in my opinion (
with the caveat being: that tier is subjective), so it's rare but not unheard of. The situation with the current Cavs is not as established as the Spurs were or dire like the Bucks (
though the 2012 Bucks finished with 38 wins, their team was poised for a youth movement and prime for a rebuild).
Draft class wise? Has a lot of potential (
I am bias and just recently starting diving in though! Take that opinion with a grain of salt), I suspect multiple players in the 10-20 range to be on similar tiers to the above players. This class could be as good (sheer volume of impact players...) as 2011 or 2018.
Wanna add for current Cavs, in my opinion...
Evan Mobley can be a superstar, as in top 3-5 player in the entire league for multiple years.
DG is foundational. His potential is extreme and his floor is very high.
There's some good/very good young players filling out the roster elsewhere.
Cavs are in better position now than Portland has been since 1984 when they could've drafted MJ.