Isaac 3 & D Okoro - A Two Way Playing Basketball Savant

[jjvors]

There's no strict cutoff between "statistically significant" sample, and "not statistically significant sample" -- actually that doesn't really even mean anything unless you say what it is statistically significant compared to....

In his last 13 games he is 15/31 = 0.4838 , with a range (1-sigma) of 0.38 -- 0.585

In his first 32 games he is 13/58 = 0.224, with a range (1-sigma) of 0.167 -- 0.292

A statistically accurate statement! It's rare to see on a sports forum. I use 32 as a cut-off for minimally statistically accurate, but I prefer 40-50 as a minimum sample size. You want your sample to be as large as possible.

The trouble with small samples is that they're not random. If you play ten games against the 10 worst defenses you'll get different results than 10 games against the best defenses. I'd want a sample against all the teams in the league, say, half a season.

 

[Lyuokdea]

A statistically accurate statement! It's rare to see on a sports forum. I use 32 as a cut-off for minimally statistically accurate, but I prefer 40-50 as a minimum sample size. You want your sample to be as large as possible.

The trouble with small samples is that they're not random. If you play ten games against the 10 worst defenses you'll get different results than 10 games against the best defenses. I'd want a sample against all the teams in the league, say, half a season.

Even that becomes tricky though -- if a player starts hitting 3s then: (1) teams will start guarding them closer, (2) the offense may try to give them looks in more difficult scenarios, (3) teams may start getting them more consistent looks (e.g., with drawn up plays)..... These things can all significantly affect their percentages.

The fact that Okoro's 3PT percentage jumped so much doesnt really tell us what happened -- but it does start to indicate that maybe something has changed (though I would also be cognizant of the fact that there is a trials factor regarding which dates were picked -- so you're not going to be able to say this is much more than 1-sigma significant).

 

[Omar The Horse]

Completely locked up Jalen Green tonight and it’s crickets in here…

 

[Cavatt]

Completely locked up Jalen Green tonight and it’s crickets in here…

Felt like he shot it when open too. Good game.

 

[Futuredome]

Green locked up himself. Okoro was pretty bad tonight.

 

[Omar The Horse]

Green locked up himself. Okoro was pretty bad tonight.

You sound nuts

 

[Hoodly]

Completely locked up Jalen Green tonight and it’s crickets in here…

I don't know...."locking up" a player who's on the worst team in the league who was playing on a back-to-back, while himself offensively was contributing 5 points with 2 assists? Exactly what type of celebration or party were you looking for or expecting?

 

[Lyuokdea]

I don't know...."locking up" a player who's on the worst team in the league who was playing on a back-to-back, while himself offensively was contributing 5 points with 2 assists? Exactly what type of celebration or party were you looking for or expecting?

If Okoro scores 5 points, and holds Jalen Green to 6 points --- that is a trade you make every day of the year.

 

[Hoodly]

If Okoro scores 5 points, and holds Jalen Green to 6 points --- that is a trade you make every day of the year.

Beating the Houston Rockets of the world does nothing for me....but maybe that's just me.

 

[ZooCrewDude]

Beating the Houston Rockets of the world does nothing for me....but maybe that's just me.

Green hasn’t attempted less that 10 shots in a game the entire season (and averages 20 attempts per game on the second night of a b2b). He had 9 attempts tonight… so yeah this has nothing to do with the Rockets. Okoro absolutely shut down a volume shooter.

 

[Lyuokdea]

Beating the Houston Rockets of the world does nothing for me....but maybe that's just me.

It's very hard to beat the Celtics on a night you are playing the Rockets....

 

[I'mWithDan]

He just looks like he is having fun playing basketball again, which has been nice. There were a lot of nights before this stretch where he just looked miserable, especially on offense, like he didn’t even want to be out there. Hopefully he can keep building on that confidence. It has been fun to watch.

 

[The Human Q-Tip]

If Okoro scores 5 points, and holds Jalen Green to 6 points --- that is a trade you make every day of the year.

Especially when Green took 4 more shots.

 

[The Human Q-Tip]

Beating the Houston Rockets of the world does nothing for me....but maybe that's just me.

Any road win in the NBA is significant.

 

[Omar The Horse]

I don't know...."locking up" a player who's on the worst team in the league who was playing on a back-to-back, while himself offensively was contributing 5 points with 2 assists? Exactly what type of celebration or party were you looking for or expecting?

Green is their leading scorer. Okoro took him out of the game completely with his defense, his ball denial, one on one defense, and defensive positioning the entire game. This was the key alongside the overall team turnover discrepancy that made this a blow out.