Steve_424
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We can adjust this discussion if the Indians make any further moves, but I think the major pieces of this team are in place for 2013. Without further ado, let's look at Bill James' 2013 projections, and how the Indians may stack up if they come true.
Projected Lineup
L-2B-Jason Kipnis - .274/.351/.429; 18 HR, 28 SB
S-SS-Asdrubal Cabrera - .279/.342/.416; 16 HR, 12 SB
S-RF-Nick Swisher - .256/.362/.458, 25 HR, 2 SB
S-C-Carlos Santana - .261/.383/.476; 25 HR, 4 SB
R-1B-Mark Reynolds - .231/.336/.463; 32 HR, 5 SB
L-CF-Michael Brantley - .279/.344/.379; 7 HR, 19 SB
L-3B-Lonnie Chisenhall - .262/.310/.433, 18 HR, 3 SB
R-Drew Stubbs - .246/.319/.386; 16 HR, 33 SB
R-Mike Aviles - .267/.300/.409; 13 HR, 13 SB
Team Average:
2013 Projected: .262/.339/.427; 170 HR, 119 SB
2012 Indians: .251/.324/.381; 136 HR, 110 SB
Notes:
Take a look at how the 2013 (Projected) Indians would have fared in the 2012 MLB season:
170 HRs would have put the Indians 12th in Baseball last year (They were 25th)
.262 BA would have put the Indians 9th in Baseball last year (They were 18th)
119 SB would have put the Indians 10th in Baseball last year (They were 12th)
.339 OBP would have put the Indians 1st in Baseball last year (They were 11th)
.427 SLG would have put the Indians 7th in Baseball last year (They were 25th)
Despite it's flaws, it's clear the offense has not only been balanced, but also upgraded.
Projected Rotation
Justin Masterson - 10-12, 4.01 ERA, 204 IP
Ubaldo Jimenez - 9-10, 3.97 ERA, 170 IP
Brett Myers - No starting projections available
And Two of:
Trevor Bauer - 4-4, 4.14 ERA, 70 IP (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Carlos Carrasco - 7-7, 4.61 ERA, 125 IP (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Zack McAllister - 8-11, 4.50 ERA, 170 IP
Scott Kazmir
Notes:
James is really predicting a bounce-back year for Ubaldo. I also see Bauer pitching much more than 70 IP. With Carrasco likely having an innings limit, Bauer's youth, and the likelihood of injuries occurring throughout the season, the importance of the Indians adding a SP like Marcum or Saunders is evident.
Projected Bullpen
Chris Perez - 41 saves, 2.79 ERA
Vinnie Pestano - 25 saves, 2.72 ERA
Joe Smith - 68 IP, 2.91 ERA
Bryan Shaw - 62.0 IP, 4.06 ERA
Matt Albers - 62.0 IP, 4.21 ERA
Nick Hagadone - 30 IP, 4.77 ERA (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Cody Allen - 55 IP, 3.42 ERA (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Scott Barnes - No Projections Available
Notes:
Bullpens are obviously hard to project. For instance, barring injury, there is no way Hagadone only pitches 30 innings this year. Still, it seems likely that the bullpen will once again be a strength for this ballclub.
Projected Lineup
L-2B-Jason Kipnis - .274/.351/.429; 18 HR, 28 SB
S-SS-Asdrubal Cabrera - .279/.342/.416; 16 HR, 12 SB
S-RF-Nick Swisher - .256/.362/.458, 25 HR, 2 SB
S-C-Carlos Santana - .261/.383/.476; 25 HR, 4 SB
R-1B-Mark Reynolds - .231/.336/.463; 32 HR, 5 SB
L-CF-Michael Brantley - .279/.344/.379; 7 HR, 19 SB
L-3B-Lonnie Chisenhall - .262/.310/.433, 18 HR, 3 SB
R-Drew Stubbs - .246/.319/.386; 16 HR, 33 SB
R-Mike Aviles - .267/.300/.409; 13 HR, 13 SB
Team Average:
2013 Projected: .262/.339/.427; 170 HR, 119 SB
2012 Indians: .251/.324/.381; 136 HR, 110 SB
Notes:
Take a look at how the 2013 (Projected) Indians would have fared in the 2012 MLB season:
170 HRs would have put the Indians 12th in Baseball last year (They were 25th)
.262 BA would have put the Indians 9th in Baseball last year (They were 18th)
119 SB would have put the Indians 10th in Baseball last year (They were 12th)
.339 OBP would have put the Indians 1st in Baseball last year (They were 11th)
.427 SLG would have put the Indians 7th in Baseball last year (They were 25th)
Despite it's flaws, it's clear the offense has not only been balanced, but also upgraded.
Projected Rotation
Justin Masterson - 10-12, 4.01 ERA, 204 IP
Ubaldo Jimenez - 9-10, 3.97 ERA, 170 IP
Brett Myers - No starting projections available
And Two of:
Trevor Bauer - 4-4, 4.14 ERA, 70 IP (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Carlos Carrasco - 7-7, 4.61 ERA, 125 IP (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Zack McAllister - 8-11, 4.50 ERA, 170 IP
Scott Kazmir
Notes:
James is really predicting a bounce-back year for Ubaldo. I also see Bauer pitching much more than 70 IP. With Carrasco likely having an innings limit, Bauer's youth, and the likelihood of injuries occurring throughout the season, the importance of the Indians adding a SP like Marcum or Saunders is evident.
Projected Bullpen
Chris Perez - 41 saves, 2.79 ERA
Vinnie Pestano - 25 saves, 2.72 ERA
Joe Smith - 68 IP, 2.91 ERA
Bryan Shaw - 62.0 IP, 4.06 ERA
Matt Albers - 62.0 IP, 4.21 ERA
Nick Hagadone - 30 IP, 4.77 ERA (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Cody Allen - 55 IP, 3.42 ERA (CAIRO projection; Bill James didn't project him yet)
Scott Barnes - No Projections Available
Notes:
Bullpens are obviously hard to project. For instance, barring injury, there is no way Hagadone only pitches 30 innings this year. Still, it seems likely that the bullpen will once again be a strength for this ballclub.
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