rabman_gold
All-Star
- Joined
- Aug 14, 2008
- Messages
- 5,010
- Reaction score
- 6,016
- Points
- 113
Keeping this up for you guys to see how it works.
I'm going to do it both ways this year. I also updated some of the ways I'm doing this as well. Thank you for your patience.
Here's the rules for the rest of the year:
The first two are for playoff contention, if you can call it that. The other two are for lottery chances. Which side will you choose?
Games Left: 1
The playoffs:
<table><tbody border="0.5"><tr><th>Teams</th><th>Rankings</th><th>Magic Numbers</th></tr><tr><td>Detroit
</td><td>10</td><td>Better</td></tr><tr><td>New Jersey
</td><td>11</td><td>Luck</td></tr><tr><td>Toronto
</td><td>12</td><td>Next</td></tr><tr><td>Cleveland
</td><td>13</td><td>Year :gap:
</td></tr></tbody></table>
Translation: So, no more playoffs. I'll keep this up so at least there's a table available for next year (and the year after). Don't forget about this post, since the Cavs WILL be in the playoffs sooner or later (Dan Gilbert's paying for it with Kyrie, Baron's salary, Walton's salary, and the Lakers draft pick).
And the lottery:
<table><tbody border="0.5"><tr><th>Teams</th><th>Rankings</th><th>Magic Numbers</th></tr><tr><td>New Orleans
</td><td>3</td><td>It
</td></tr><tr><td>Cleveland
</td><td>3</td><td>Could've</td></tr><tr><td>Sacramento
</td><td>5</td><td>Been
</td></tr><tr><td>New Jersey
</td><td>5</td><td>Much
</td></tr><tr><td>Toronto
</td><td>7</td><td>Worse</td></tr></tbody></table>
Translation: So, I'll just keep this here for next year, so if it's okay, I'd appreciate no permanent lock since I also do chances for good playoff spots above.
Sacramento's Magic Number: 0
They're gone. Better luck next year... so we can steal your pick instead.
Laker's Games Left: 1
Laker's Magic Number: 0 (we officially have the Laker's pick this year, be bad next year so we can profit)
Lakers Pick before toss: 25th or 24th
And some info on the Lottery Here (click me!):
13 Draft Lotteries since 2012:
<table><tbody><tr><th>Rank</th><th>Times in Top 3</th><th>Times in Top 5</th></tr> <tr><td>Worst</td><td>9 times (69.2%)
</td><td>13 times (100%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>2nd Worst</td><td>5 times (38.5%)
</td><td>13 times (100%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>3rd Worst</td><td>4 times (30.8%)
</td><td>12 times (92.3%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>4th Worst</td><td>6 times (46.2%)
</td><td>11 times (84.6%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>5th Worst</td><td>6 times (46.2%)
</td><td>07 times (53.8%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>6th Worst</td><td>4 times (30.8%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>7th Worst</td><td>2 times (15.4%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>8th Worst</td><td>01 time (07.7%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>9th Worst</td><td>01 time (07.7%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>10th Worst</td><td>0 times
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>11th Worst</td><td>Same</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>12th Worst</td><td>Same</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>13th Worst</td><td>01 time (07.7%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>14th Worst</td><td>0 times
</td><td>Same</td></tr></tbody></table>
Conclusion from link (view at discretion): Avoid 5 at all costs. It doesn't give high odds for a top 5 pick, let alone top 3. Get at least a 4th seed lottery pick to allow some flexibility.
------------------------
Credit to the following poster (thank this post as well):
Believeland-OH
You did a good job with the analysis. Hopefully you're up for it again next year (maybe on the other end). Thank you for everything.
------------------------
Just one more game.
Updated: Friday, April 27, 2012 @ 10:40 AM - Done for the year, so ya when it matters next year.
I'm going to do it both ways this year. I also updated some of the ways I'm doing this as well. Thank you for your patience.
Here's the rules for the rest of the year:
- Start with 66 games, combine your wins, any team's losses, add 1, and you automatically beat them in rankings.
- 66 - Cavs' wins + Any Team's losses + tie-breakers = Win in rankings.
- Start with 66 games, combine your losses, any team's wins, add 1, and you can't reach them.
- 66 - Cavs' losses + Any team's wins + tie-breakers in opponents favor = Loss in rankings.
- If a team is above the Cavs in playoffs, use Cavs losses + opponents wins + tie-breakers instead.
- If a team is below the Cavs in lottery ranking, use Cavs wins + opponents losses + tie-breakers instead.
The first two are for playoff contention, if you can call it that. The other two are for lottery chances. Which side will you choose?
Games Left: 1
The playoffs:
<table><tbody border="0.5"><tr><th>Teams</th><th>Rankings</th><th>Magic Numbers</th></tr><tr><td>Detroit
</td><td>10</td><td>Better</td></tr><tr><td>New Jersey
</td><td>11</td><td>Luck</td></tr><tr><td>Toronto
</td><td>12</td><td>Next</td></tr><tr><td>Cleveland
</td><td>13</td><td>Year :gap:
</td></tr></tbody></table>
Translation: So, no more playoffs. I'll keep this up so at least there's a table available for next year (and the year after). Don't forget about this post, since the Cavs WILL be in the playoffs sooner or later (Dan Gilbert's paying for it with Kyrie, Baron's salary, Walton's salary, and the Lakers draft pick).
And the lottery:
<table><tbody border="0.5"><tr><th>Teams</th><th>Rankings</th><th>Magic Numbers</th></tr><tr><td>New Orleans
</td><td>3</td><td>It
</td></tr><tr><td>Cleveland
</td><td>3</td><td>Could've</td></tr><tr><td>Sacramento
</td><td>5</td><td>Been
</td></tr><tr><td>New Jersey
</td><td>5</td><td>Much
</td></tr><tr><td>Toronto
</td><td>7</td><td>Worse</td></tr></tbody></table>
Translation: So, I'll just keep this here for next year, so if it's okay, I'd appreciate no permanent lock since I also do chances for good playoff spots above.
Sacramento's Magic Number: 0
They're gone. Better luck next year... so we can steal your pick instead.
Laker's Games Left: 1
Laker's Magic Number: 0 (we officially have the Laker's pick this year, be bad next year so we can profit)
Lakers Pick before toss: 25th or 24th
And some info on the Lottery Here (click me!):
13 Draft Lotteries since 2012:
<table><tbody><tr><th>Rank</th><th>Times in Top 3</th><th>Times in Top 5</th></tr> <tr><td>Worst</td><td>9 times (69.2%)
</td><td>13 times (100%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>2nd Worst</td><td>5 times (38.5%)
</td><td>13 times (100%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>3rd Worst</td><td>4 times (30.8%)
</td><td>12 times (92.3%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>4th Worst</td><td>6 times (46.2%)
</td><td>11 times (84.6%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>5th Worst</td><td>6 times (46.2%)
</td><td>07 times (53.8%)
</td></tr> <tr><td>6th Worst</td><td>4 times (30.8%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>7th Worst</td><td>2 times (15.4%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>8th Worst</td><td>01 time (07.7%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>9th Worst</td><td>01 time (07.7%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>10th Worst</td><td>0 times
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>11th Worst</td><td>Same</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>12th Worst</td><td>Same</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>13th Worst</td><td>01 time (07.7%)
</td><td>Same</td></tr> <tr><td>14th Worst</td><td>0 times
</td><td>Same</td></tr></tbody></table>
Conclusion from link (view at discretion): Avoid 5 at all costs. It doesn't give high odds for a top 5 pick, let alone top 3. Get at least a 4th seed lottery pick to allow some flexibility.
------------------------
Credit to the following poster (thank this post as well):
Believeland-OH
Standings Before the Last Day of Games
T-6th - New Jersey Nets (22 Wins) (1 Games Left)
G.R.: @TOR
T-6th - Toronto Raptors (22 Wins) (1 Games Left)
G.R.: vNJN
T-3rd - Cleveland Cavaliers (21 Wins) (1 Games Left)
G.R.: @CHI
T-3rd - Sacramento Kings (21 Wins) (1 Games Left)
G.R.: vLAL
T-3rd - New Orleans Hornets (21 Wins) (1 Games Left)
G.R.: @HOU
*2nd - Washington Wizards (19 Wins) (1 Games Left)
*1st - Charlotte Bobcats (7 Wins) (1 Games Left)
After tonight there is no denying the Cavaliers are committed to the tank. Just one game to go at Chicago. The Bulls have played their starters normal minutes against the Pacers tonight, so hopefully they do again tomorrow as they try to work D-Rose back into the starting lineup. A lose puts us no worse then a tie for 3rd, a win is unspeakable.
We still don't know if the Lakers will sit their starters tomorrow against Sacramento. The Rockets will be sitting several key players against the Hornets who will not be playing Gordon. Let's hope after tomorrow we sit in sole possession of 3rd.
Houston's DNP for tomorrow:
You did a good job with the analysis. Hopefully you're up for it again next year (maybe on the other end). Thank you for everything.
------------------------
Just one more game.
Updated: Friday, April 27, 2012 @ 10:40 AM - Done for the year, so ya when it matters next year.
Last edited: