gourimoko
Fighting the good fight!
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Guess you confuse me, how you can say that about the best day stuff but then favor the Cavs in a series.
Sorry...
Put it simply, if you simulate conditions for a Cavs Warriors matchup, then plot the outcomes of those matchups on a graph, the Warriors winning plots would be predominantly grouped in more favorable areas of the graph, on average, than Cavaliers plots. Furthermore, since more of those plots would exist in areas of the plane where we would consider conditions favorable, they are probably less likely, if not outright lucky.
In essence, the Cavaliers have more paths to victory than Golden State, but Golden State is more likely to win if both teams are given equally favorable conditions (which is unlikely).
This is why I say "on their best day" Golden State is nearly unbeatable. Whereas on an average day, the Cavaliers are the better of the two teams, in a 7-game series. And I qualify that because I don't think either team is generally better than the other with respect to the regular season.
If one teams best is better than another team's in your mind (no matter who the two teams are..) - then doesn't it stand to reason you just feel that team is simply better?
Perhaps. I think, in my mind, the "better" of two teams is the one that can consistently perform at a higher level than the other, in generally reasonable conditions.
It's why I've said since the start of the season, the Bulls were never a threat, because without Derrick Rose, they don't have enough firepower to beat the Cavaliers. At their "best" would mean, with Derrick Rose? But how likely is that to happen, and with him in peak condition? Not very. So their window of favorable likely outcomes is far smaller than ours.
I mean, if you do, that's fine- it's certainly a defendable position. Golden State is TOUGH.
They are.