How close do you think Moz is to elite center status, and what will he need to do to get there?
Cheers.
I think he needs to develop a 15-18 footer ..... if he can develop that 15-18 footer it will help him a lot in terms of career longevity.
Mozgov has shot 41% for his career from 10-16' and 37% from 16+
his FG % from 16' or greater last year was 43% - he hit 43% from 10-16 with Cleve (he was terrible in Den, which wasn't using him well
http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/m/mozgoti01.html#shooting::none
For comparison, Tim Duncan is a career 40% from 10-16' and 41% from 16+
Aldridge is 41% and 42%.
It would seem you would want him to become as good as Duncan or Aldridge which is probably a little beyond his reach - only he was that good from range, already last year.
Any expectation of great improvement shooting from range is probably misplaced.
No, it's not misplaced. In fact the stats you cite show how he could develop that potential. He hit a solid percentage of those shots last year but he took very few of them. Mozgov only took 16% of his shots from outside of 10 feet and less than 10% from outside of 16 feet. That shows a lack of confidence. If he could keep his percentage in the mid-40% range and hit that shot *consistently* he would space the floor in a different way, and be able to do a little pick and pop.
Z had that ability. Compare also Pau Gasol, who takes about 40% of his shots outside of 10 feet and hits in the mid-40% range. He can make you pay if you leave him open.
Okay, I hear what you're saying.
It's an argument of does he not take them because he's not confident, or is it a usage issue, similar to the one many feel Kevin Love suffers in the offense....
Agreed, i was going to make the same argument. Moz needs to take 1 or 2 jumpers a game to keep the opposing center honest, but how many plays do we run for a 43% shooting 7'1 center from 10 feet when we have a pf who shoots about the same from 3.
This means even more effort on the boards and help defense. Those areas of improvement improve the team, not him shooting better than he already does on 10 footers.