This can be the thread to post and find out.
I like it.
Here is what I have for tonight's games. Keep in mind that it isn't going to give a logical football score, but should be able to give an idea of the strength of each team.
Cincinnati 33, UCLA 25
Florida International 31, Tulane 23
Georgia Tech 16, Clemson 53
Texas State 18, Texas A&M 36
Kent State 29, Arizona State 42
Utah 27, BYU 23
Probably just going to jump on Cincinnati and FIU. The Texas State (+33) and Kent State (+25) are showing up as typical plays, but I don't have as much faith in the early parts of the season. In years past, the system has improved as I have been able to put more data in from this season itself. This is my first year using Steele's projections as a base.
Another thing I've noticed is that the system uses a lot of averages, so it usually fails on the high-end and low-end projections. That Clemson vs GA Tech game is kind of ridiculous. Based on what I've seen in the past, Clemson should absolutely annihilate them based on the projection.
I used the system to come up with a rankings system as well, which was basically just how each team would project against the average D-1 team.
Here is the top 10 of that:
Team | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Diff | Rank |
Alabama | 44.2 | 1 | 14.4 | 1 | 29.8 | 1 |
Clemson | 44 | 2 | 16.1 | 3 | 27.9 | 2 |
LSU | 38.7 | 7 | 18.5 | 4 | 20.2 | 3 |
Georgia | 39.9 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 19.9 | 4 |
Michigan | 41.3 | 4 | 21.8 | 11 | 19.5 | 5 |
Ohio State | 38.9 | 6 | 22.3 | 16 | 16.6 | 6 |
Oklahoma | 42 | 3 | 28 | 57 | 14 | 7 |
Texas A&M | 38.4 | 9 | 24.6 | 31 | 13.8 | 8 |
Notre Dame | 35.4 | 15 | 21.6 | 10 | 13.7 | 9 |
Auburn | 34.3 | 18 | 22.1 | 12 | 12.2 | 10 |