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2009 Free Agency

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Supposedly Feagen and Ferry are getting along better then ever. Maybe they both realize that the best place for Andy is here for all parties involved, actually part of it might be that Feagen knows his best chance to get Andy money is with Cleveland. Other teams have to realize that Andy benefits from playing with Lebron and with teams clamoring to cut money for finincial reasons and to be players in the 2010 market. Given this even a free agent big man might not get the big pay day that he would have in past seasons. I can see us going 8 to 9 million a year for Varejao. I'd also like to see us bring back Smith, as I see us shopping Wallace's contract in the offseason.
 
I'd definitely like to see Andy re-signed. As for Wally, I'd dump him. He's too old and beat up. I think that the Cavs need to draft a center as well. Granted, it would be a project center similar to how JJ is a project forward. But, Z will be here another couple of years so the Cavs should be able to manage that. I'd try to re-sign Joe Smith with the MLE if possible. Personally, I'd pass on Jason Kidd. Even if we got him for the Bi-annual exception, I don't think I want him. He's not that good anymore and doesn't really fit here since we have Mo and Delonte. So, to sum it up, I'd re-sign Andy and Joe Smith and draft a young center.
 
Anyone with me to try and get Pops? :dance:
 
West
Boobie
Sasha
Kinsey
Wally

All SG's who are better than Flip Murray, and play within a team.

Sorry, but Flip had his time here, he is no longer needed.

I'm glad Ferry and his staff are evaluating talent and not you. Please explain how any of those players other than West are better than Flip? Boobie is a one-dimensional player who can't even do that right now. Sasha is about as inconsistent as it gets. TK is a career end of the bench player and Wally is the slowest SF in basketball. All four of them have their good moments, but there is no way that any of them (let alone all of them) are better than Flip Murray.

Since when did Flip not play within a team? You are right, he had his time here and he did pretty darn well, did he not?
 
Since when did Flip not play within a team? You are right, he had his time here and he did pretty darn well, did he not?

At Seattle, Flip was famous for his over dribbling, calling his own number when starting the offense, and playing matador defense. The fans there even started a website dedicated to getting Flip traded before he came to Cleveland. That kind of rep sticks with a player for a while.

Flip has matured a lot since then, but but no matter how you slice it, he's not as good as the Cavs starters, Mo & Delonte. Those two are jsut all around better players. Flip may or may not be better than the Cavs bench: Wally, Gibson, Sasha or Tarence. I think he's competitive with those guys, but I really don't see the Cavs even thinking about adding Flip as a free agent unless most of those guys are not back next year. And as it is right now, the only one that 50/50 likely to be gone is Sasha.

I can't see the Cavs using free agent money to add a 4th small guard. Most teams don't have 4 small guards.

I'd also like to mention that many GM's have had serious regrets about signing an undersized SG to a multi-year contract when the player is about to turn 30. Maybe Flip is the exception, but probably not. Usually those contracts turn into boat anchors really fast.
 
Anyone with me to try and get Pops? :dance:

I don't have the analytical skills of a lot of RCF posters, but i do I enjoy reading the comments. It did strike me that Pops seemed very hungry in the one game I saw him against us (SAS?) and he seems to be under the radar. He looked like he enjoyed banging underneath and being physical. I'd like to see a spot for him in the Wine & Gold. So I guess I'm with you on Pops.
 
I don't have the analytical skills of a lot of RCF posters, but i do I enjoy reading the comments. It did strike me that Pops seemed very hungry in the one game I saw him against us (SAS?) and he seems to be under the radar. He looked like he enjoyed banging underneath and being physical. I'd like to see a spot for him in the Wine & Gold. So I guess I'm with you on Pops.

I like Pops, but the Cavs already have Wallace, Jackson and Hickson to fill the role of physical undersized frontcourt player. He'd be an option if one of the rookies gets traded, but that's about it.
 
I like Pops, but the Cavs already have Wallace, Jackson and Hickson to fill the role of physical undersized frontcourt player. He'd be an option if one of the rookies gets traded, but that's about it.

I was thinking more along the lines of Jawad's spot or even Lorenzen's. The question to me is why he can't seem to find a spot on an NBA team if he always plays like he did against us. I agree he's a little light in the britches for C but he sure seemed to make up for it in intensity.
 
we can put pops in the small forward position rather than the 4 and the 5 spots...he could be a poor man's gerald wallace for us
 
According to HoopsHype

Player 2008/09 2009/10
Ben Wallace $14,500,000 $14,000,000
LeBron James $14,410,581 $15,779,912
Wally Szczerbiak $13,000,000 $0
Zydrunas Ilgauskas $10,841,615 $11,541,074
Maurice Williams $8,353,000 $8,860,000
Eric Snow $7,310,000 $0
Anderson Varejao $5,784,480 $6,212,960
Aleksandar Pavlovic $4,500,000 $4,950,000
Delonte West $3,850,000 $4,254,250
Daniel Gibson $3,700,000 $4,088,500
JJ Hickson $1,329,480 $1,429,200
Lorenzen Wright $1,262,275 $0
Joe Smith $1,262,275 $0
Tarence Kinsey $797,581 $0
Darnell Jackson $450,000 $736,420
Jawad Williams $162,108 $0
$54,036 $0
Trey Johnson $24,562 $0
TOTALS: $91,591,993 $71,852,316

10 spots taken, 3 decisions to make with Wally, Joe, and TK and draft choice. Maybe we could sign Pops to a DJ type contract and use him as an enforcer. Size-wise Pops is listed at 6 10 240lbs and AV 6 10 230. Don't think Pops is the slasher Gerald is.
 
Pops could be a replacement if JJ is traded for Bosh. He seems to be a proven talent but not yet in a good rotation in any team. Toronto is playing him at the 7th man but he seems to play out of place cause Bosh is their go to guy so he cant explode as much as he wants.
 
Flip has matured a lot since then, but but no matter how you slice it, he's not as good as the Cavs starters, Mo & Delonte. Those two are jsut all around better players. Flip may or may not be better than the Cavs bench: Wally, Gibson, Sasha or Tarence. I think he's competitive with those guys, but I really don't see the Cavs even thinking about adding Flip as a free agent unless most of those guys are not back next year. And as it is right now, the only one that 50/50 likely to be gone is Sasha.

Wally and TK are free agents after this year, so why do you think they are more likely to be here next season than Sasha, who is under contract (albeit only a portion is guaranteed)?

Not everybody is on board with John Hollinger's PER (Player Effeciency Rating), but FWIW, here are the PER's of the 6 Cavs' guards as well as Flip:


Sasha: 9.24
Gibson: 9.58
Wally: 11.9
TK: 12.13
Delonte: 14.26
Mo: 17.33

Flip: 14.74

I can't see the Cavs using free agent money to add a 4th small guard. Most teams don't have 4 small guards.

This is the biggest thing I have against Flip, so here I agree. At 6'3, the Cavs don't need another small guard. They are in desperate need of a big guard. Sasha should be that guy, but his inconsistent play is frustrating.

I'd also like to mention that many GM's have had serious regrets about signing an undersized SG to a multi-year contract when the player is about to turn 30. Maybe Flip is the exception, but probably not. Usually those contracts turn into boat anchors really fast.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the MLE a one-year deal? I never said anything about signing Flip to a multi-year deal, but wouldn't be opposed to a 2-year deal if it could work out.
 
10 spots taken, 3 decisions to make with Wally, Joe, and TK and draft choice. Maybe we could sign Pops to a DJ type contract and use him as an enforcer. Size-wise Pops is listed at 6 10 240lbs and AV 6 10 230. Don't think Pops is the slasher Gerald is.

Depending on how the Cavs use the MLE and bi-annual (as well as what they do with Varejao), they main run out of spots on the roster. With two first draft picks and as many as three free agent signings, the Cavs will be at 15 right there. Darnell and JJ could be fighting for that 12th spot on the active roster next year. The 2nd round pick certainly won't be in the mix. If the Cavs are active in free agency, the 1st round pick (hopefully No. 30) won't even make the active roster. Because of that, I wouldn't be opposed to the Cavs trying to trade the pick.
 
Wally and TK are free agents after this year, so why do you think they are more likely to be here next season than Sasha, who is under contract (albeit only a portion is guaranteed)?

Cavs have a team option for TK and the odds are that they keep him unless there is some locker room attitude problem that I don't know about.

Cavs are leaning towards re-upping Wally as a free agent and Wally seems willing to work for the Cavs at a reasonable rate. At this point it looks like he'll be back for a little while longer.

Cavs will likely trade Sasha's non-guaranteed contract if they can get a good draft pick and a reliable vet that fits with Sasha's salary. If they can't, they might just waive him.

You have a higher opinion of Flip than I do. He's a fun player. He helped the team in 2006. He's been able to play well with Atlanta. My opinion is that Flip doesn't fill a need on the team right now and he doesn't fit a price bracket that the Cavs would pay for a FA if something opened up. Flip wants years , $$$'s, and playing time. The Cavs can't offer any of those things right now.

Trust me, Flip Murray isn't even remotely on the Cavs radar for this summer.
 
A solid article wrapping up the 2009 free agency picture, written on 2/27/09:

http://www.hoopsworld.com/Story.asp?STORY_ID=11764

Summer of 2009: Now that the trade deadline has passed, the summer of 2009 is coming into greater focus. A number of impact free agents could be available including Kobe Bryant, Allen Iverson, Carlos Boozer, Ron Artest, Mike Bibby, Rasheed Wallace, Shawn Marion, Jason Kidd, Lamar Odom, Hedo Turkoglu, Ben Gordon, Mike Bibby, David Lee, Paul Millsap and Andre Miller. The list goes on but there is a catch that could complicate matters. The salary cap, which typically climbs each and every year, is projected to drop from $58.68 million to approximately $57.3 million. The following is breakdown of each team capable of creating cap room without needing a trade to open space:

Atlanta Hawks: The Hawks have significant free agents to worry about in Mike Bibby, Marvin Williams and Josh Childress. Both Williams and Childress are restricted; Childress has spent the year overseas. If Atlanta waived the rights to all three - in addition to Zaza Pachulia, Flip Murray and the like - the team might be able to get to roughly $13-14.6 million under the cap. Where their first round pick falls sets the range, although the team can always try and draft a European player and stash them overseas for a year - or flat out trade the pick.

One option might be to bring Bibby and Williams at reasonable rates and then use the Mid-Level Exception (roughly $5.6 million) to add to the group - but that depends on how much the two are demanding.

The Hawks should be considered a threat as a cap space team but if they have a strong playoff run, they may be inclined to keep their roster together.

Detroit Pistons: Watching the Pistons implode recently, it just doesn't seem like there will be tremendous pressure for the team to re-sign either Allen Iverson or Rasheed Wallace.

Waiving the rights of Iverson, Wallace, Walter Herrmann and Will Bynum puts Detroit at just $39.6 million before accounting for their 2009 draft pick.

If they could somehow convince Kwame Brown to opt out of the final year on his deal (good luck), that would open up another $4 million in cap space.

Barring any further moves, the Pistons stand to have $16-$17.7 million to spend in free agency. The odds appear high that Detroit makes cap space a priority.

Rumors have linked the Pistons to Carlos Boozer who can opt out of the final year on his contract ($12.7 million) this summer.

Memphis Grizzlies: The Grizzlies currently have the fifth worst record in the league which puts their 2009 first round pick in the $2-$4.1 million range.

Once they waive Greg Buckner who is only guaranteed $1 million, Memphis could have as much as $20 million under the cap - assuming they waive the rights to restricted free agent Hakim Warrick.

Even if they keep Warrick at his qualifying offer of $3 million, the Grizzlies have a ton of room to work with.

Memphis may be judicious with how they spend their money this summer, but they will be a major player in free agency.

Miami HEAT: It makes no economic sense for Jermaine O'Neal to opt out of his final year at $23 million. While anything is possible, this is as close to "not" as you're going to get.

Minnesota Timberwolves: The Wolves technically can get slightly under the cap but since they own three first round picks - and stand to have major cap room in 2010 - it's just not going to happen (barring trades, etc).

Oklahoma City Thunder: The Thunder are tied with the Washington Wizards for the second worst records in the league. That puts their pick in the $2.5-$4.1 million range. Additionally OK City has two late firsts that would add roughly $1.7 million to their cap figure.

Cutting Chucky Atkins reduces his $3.48 million salary to just $760k. Damien Wilkins has an early termination option but he'd struggle to find anyone else in the league to pay him $3.3 million next season.

All told, the Thunder will probably have about $10 million to spend in free agency. They might be able to improve upon that via trade but the same can be said about almost any team.

Portland Trail Blazers: The Blazers cap position was hurt by the Memphis Grizzlies when they signed Darius Miles out of retirement. His $9 million figure cuts Portland's projected cap space in half.

Assuming they waive the rights to Channing Frye and keep their late first-round pick, the Blazers could have about $9.1 million to spend.

Both Travis Outlaw ($3.6 million) and Steve Blake ($4.0 million) have non-guaranteed deals that could dramatically open up space for the Blazers. Outlaw and Blake would need to be waived by June 30th otherwise their deals get locked in for the upcoming season.

Teams generally looking to save money to either get away from the luxury tax, open up cap room or just shave payroll will undoubtedly be trying to acquire Outlaw and Blake before the end of June - if only to cut them and reap the savings. Complicating matters is that both have solid on the court value.

As always, it'll be very interesting to see what the Blazers do around draft time and free agency (armed with $9.1-$16.7 million in space).

Sacramento Kings: The Kings were extremely active at the deadline, improving their cap position for the summer.

Mikki More has been cut and will cost $2 million. The retired Shareef Abdur-Rahim's $6.6 million has been taken off the books. Sacramento can easily waive the rights to restricted free agents Ike Diogu, Rashad McCants and Will Solomon.

Drew Gooden will be auditioning for a deal but for cap space, the Kings may waive his bird rights as well.

Also in the mix is what could be the top draft pick considering Sacramento has the worst record in the NBA. Their salary range for the pick is $2.5-$4.1 million. They also get Houston's pick which could be roughly $850k - $1 million.

All told, that leaves roughly $7.2 million of spending power for the Kings. Of course they may wait until 2010 when they could be even further under the cap.

Toronto Raptors: Unless they win the lottery or lose a ton of games, the Raptors will be on hook for about $1.8-$2.1 million with a pick around 8-10.

If they waive the rights to Shawn Marion, Anthony Parker and Joey Graham - they'd have about $7.8 million in cap space. Is there a single player available at that price who would help the team more than the three they'd be letting go? Probably not.

The Raptors might be better off seeking reasonable deals with their own free agents and shopping with their Mid-Level Exception. Waiting until 2010 to shop may be advantageous but Toronto runs the risk of losing Bosh to free agency.

Utah Jazz: Technically the Jazz can get under the cap but that would take serious defections with Carlos Boozer, Mehmet Okur and Kyle Korver all opting out. Korver has not had a great year and would be ill-advised to leave $5.3 million on the table.

It's feasible that Boozer leaves $12.7 million for a long term deal. It's iffy on Okur who is has an early termination option on $9 million.

Adding to the confusion is Paul Millsap who is due a big raise as a restricted free agent, although he has a very light cap figure as a second round pick. He could be inked to a deal after the Jazz made any sort of free agent splash.

If Boozer, Okur and Korver did decide to leave, the Jazz would have roughly $9 million to spend.

Summing It Up
There will be more free agents than there is cap room this summer. Some teams will be reluctant to spend because of the economy or prospects of landing a marquee player in 2010. Once the money is spent, those left out will be dependent on their existing teams for contracts or sign and trade deals. The alternative might be accepting offers at the Mid-Level Exception - even for players used to making eight-figures.

It's always possible teams make trades to open up cap room, so the list won't be complete until the June 30th deadline. At this point it breaks down to the following rough figures:

Memphis Grizzlies - $20 million
Detroit Pistons $16-17.7 million
Atlanta Hawks - $13-14.6
Oklahoma City Thunder - $10 million
Portland Trail Blazers - $9.1-16.7 million - the latter if they cut Travis Outlaw and Steve Blake before the end of June.
Utah Jazz - $9.0 million - if Boozer, Okur and Korver all opt out.
Sacramento Kings - $7.2 million
Toronto Raptors - $7 million

Honorable mention - but unlikely to be under:
Minnesota Timberwolves
Miami HEAT

Finally, this is based on a cap projection of $57.3 million. Obviously where it lands determines the final cap figures.
 

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