2016 College Football Lines/Gambling Thread

[TheLand1287]

Bachelor party, the wedding isn't until October 22....

...The night OSU plays in Happy Valley and a potential Game 7 of the ALCS.


So, fuck me right?

Well I'll be fucked right there with you... that Saturday is the wedding I'm going to also. Part that kills me is the couple getting married are die hard Buckeye fans. Hate to be that guy, but the watch ESPN app will have to be utilized. And if the Indians are in the ALCS and it goes game 7, then well, they aren't family and I'm not IN the wedding... so I'll be cutting out early or calling in sick lol.

Anyway, picks! I've warmed up to Florida -10 at Vandy and Tennessee -3 at Georgia.

Also, the Oregon/Washington State o75 is starting to look good as well since I could see that game going near 90-100 points.

 

[col63onel]

I suck at gambling, but Wisconsin at +11 seems easy

 

[TheLand1287]

I hate Michigan State, and I hate the NFL. Went from my best weekend, last weekend, to my worst this weekend. So many terrible fluky ways to lose bets.

Tennessee x2: -3 (Push) and -4 (Loss)

MSU x2: -8 and -6 (Losses)

MSU, Money Line, in a 5 game parlay $50 to win $200 (WMU, Ole Miss, Maryland, & Troy all hit)

Florida -10 (Loss; fumbled at the 1 yard line to go up 14 with minutes left)

Browns +8 (Loss. Looking like easy money until Hue Jackson pulled a Pat Shurmur handing off to a FB at the goal line and Duke Johnson's phantom lost fumble)

Chargers -3 (Loss... like the Browns, fumbled away easy money)

Cowboys/Niners over 44 (Lost when the Cowboys had to settle for a FG near the end of the game when Zeke couldn't get in and either Butler or Williams, forget who, dropped a TD pass)

There were some wins sprinkled in there too, but it ended up being a net loss weekend thanks to some bad luck finishes that could've totally swung the money to my side.

 

[SanduskyCav]

What's it looking like this week?

Started betting 2 weeks ago. 4-4...

 

[AZ_]

Georgia Southern -7 last night.

Won the turnover battle 5-0, but had three trips inside the redzone end up in Field Goals, lost by one at the end.

Not the greatest start to the week, I'll be watching the weather games closely to track wind conditions and the Under will be a sharp play for me all weekend.

 

[TheLand1287]

Georgia Southern -7 last night.

Won the turnover battle 5-0, but had three trips inside the redzone end up in Field Goals, lost by one at the end.

Not the greatest start to the week, I'll be watching the weather games closely to track wind conditions and the Under will be a sharp play for me all weekend.

Misery loves company... glad to see I wasn't the only one who took GS -7 last night. I was super confident on that one too, and was my 3rd highest bet of the season behind FSU/USF and Miami/Appy. The line was fools gold though. GS play calling was dreadful and everytime they went up over 7 points they gave it right back. Now in the hole early this week and need to dig myself out.

 

[SanduskyCav]

I took the over last night...had it at 44pts..game ended at 43.

 

[TheLand1287]

I took the over last night...had it at 44pts..game ended at 43.

Ouch. All those GS red zone trips too smfh. O/U are a bitch sometimes. I was unbelievably bad picking them last weekend. Especially in the NFL.

 

[billmac91]

Just a few leans....

Akron -7.5 over Miami (Oh)....Terry Bowden has his boys playing pretty decent and they're putting up a lot of points. I think Akron can cover this spread pretty easily.

Under 50.5 in Pitt vs Georgia Tech. Weather might be a factor (going to be a bit chilly) and I think game will obviously be ground focused with Ga Tech running triple option. Thinking this game stays fairly close and played at a slower tempo.

Texas Tech +8 vs Kansas State. Surprised Tech is getting 8 points. Manhattan is a tough place to play and Tech won't put up the amount of points they're used too. But Kansas State is pretty average (2-2) and I think Tech keeps it extremely close if not outright wins. Tech is also currently first in the Big 12 and I think they believe they can win the conference with Pat Mahomes leading the way.

Notre Dame +2 at NC State.....Notre Dame is struggling this year, but they have a talent advantage over the Wolfpack. I like Notre Dame to win this game on the road. Kelly will find a way to put up enough points to get Notre Dame out with the "W"

Under 62 in FSU vs Miami......going to be a really wet field, and I think both teams will play at a slower pace than normal. I just have a feeling this game ends up well under 62.

Kentucky -3 vs Vandy...Kentucky is a better team and at home. I'll take the give the points.

Auburn -2.5 vs Miss St....I like Auburn in this one. They had a horseshoe in their ass against LSU, but they are still contending right now in SEC. Miss State has looked really bad this year so I think Auburn handles business.

Stanford -7 vs Washington State...I think Shaw gets team re-focused and they choke Washington State out. I like McCaffery to have a big game and Stanfords defense to be up to challenge against Leech's air-raid.

 

[AZ_]

Just a few leans....

Akron -7.5 over Miami (Oh)....Terry Bowden has his boys playing pretty decent and they're putting up a lot of points. I think Akron can cover this spread pretty easily.

Under 50.5 in Pitt vs Georgia Tech. Weather might be a factor (going to be a bit chilly) and I think game will obviously be ground focused with Ga Tech running triple option. Thinking this game stays fairly close and played at a slower tempo.

Texas Tech +8 vs Kansas State. Surprised Tech is getting 8 points. Manhattan is a tough place to play and Tech won't put up the amount of points they're used too. But Kansas State is pretty average (2-2) and I think Tech keeps it extremely close if not outright wins. Tech is also currently first in the Big 12 and I think they believe they can win the conference with Pat Mahomes leading the way.

Notre Dame +2 at NC State.....Notre Dame is struggling this year, but they have a talent advantage over the Wolfpack. I like Notre Dame to win this game on the road. Kelly will find a way to put up enough points to get Notre Dame out with the "W"

Under 62 in FSU vs Miami......going to be a really wet field, and I think both teams will play at a slower pace than normal. I just have a feeling this game ends up well under 62.

Kentucky -3 vs Vandy...Kentucky is a better team and at home. I'll take the points.

Auburn -2.5 vs Miss St....I like Auburn in this one. They had a horseshoe in their ass against LSU, but they are still contending right now in SEC. Miss State has looked really bad this year so I think Auburn handles business.

Stanford -7 vs Washington State...I think Shaw gets team re-focused and theyc ome out and choke Washington State out. I like McCaffery to have a big game and Stanfords defense up to challenge against Leech's air-raid.

Couple of things:

Is Akron's QB playing?

Texas Tech's QB is likely out. Which actually makes me like them more.

 

[billmac91]

Couple of things:

Is Akron's QB playing?

Texas Tech's QB is likely out. Which actually makes me like them more.

Not sure how I missed Mahomes being out...I'm second guessing now. Kansas State has #2 defense is country and I think Mahomes ability to extend plays would've been extremely helpful. +8 is still a lot though...

 

[AZ_]

Not sure how I missed Mahomes being out...I'm second guessing now. Kansas State has #2 defense is country and I think Mahomes ability to extend plays would've been extremely helpful. +8 is still a lot though...

His backup came in and got them the cover last week, he was fire.

Take it fwiw, but Maholmes is listed as "doubtful"

 

[TheLand1287]

I'm also in on the ND +2.5 against NC State.

I like Iowa/Minn over 50 and Bama/Ark over 49.

I'm taking Ohio State -28 against IU. With the exception of the Oklahoma game I have been scared off by the heavy lines OSU has had against BG, Tulsa, and Rutgers and they've all ended up being easy money. My feeling is IU left everything they had on the field at home against MSU last week and won't have much in the tank for the Buckeyes in Columbus.

New Mexico +19 vs Boise State. New Mexico is 4-0 ATS against Boise in Bob Davies tenure there, including an outright win last year. They're at home, and since week 1 Boise hasn't exactly looked like world beaters this year. 19 just seems like a lot of points to give.

I had terrible fucking luck picking against road favorites last week, so I'm a little nervous on these two, but they look like they're worth taking the chance on:

Washington -9 at Oregon
- Oregon just isn't very good. Part of me thinks Washington may be in for a let down game after last week, and they certainly didn't look super strong on the road against Arizona, but it's just a gut feeling Washington ends up winning by 10+

Houston -17.5 at Navy
- Navy has lost some key players to injury and Houston is just a different animal on defense this year. They should win it pretty easily, but again... road favorites have me feeling pretty snake bitten

 

[natedagg]

I'm also in on the ND +2.5 against NC State.

I like Iowa/Minn over 50 and Bama/Ark over 49.

I'm taking Ohio State -28 against IU. With the exception of the Oklahoma game I have been scared off by the heavy lines OSU has had against BG, Tulsa, and Rutgers and they've all ended up being easy money. My feeling is IU left everything they had on the field at home against MSU last week and won't have much in the tank for the Buckeyes in Columbus.

New Mexico +19 vs Boise State. New Mexico is 4-0 ATS against Boise in Bob Davies tenure there, including an outright win last year. They're at home, and since week 1 Boise hasn't exactly looked like world beaters this year. 19 just seems like a lot of points to give.

I had terrible fucking luck picking against road favorites last week, so I'm a little nervous on these two, but they look like they're worth taking the chance on:

Washington -9 at Oregon
- Oregon just isn't very good. Part of me thinks Washington may be in for a let down game after last week, and they certainly didn't look super strong on the road against Arizona, but it's just a gut feeling Washington ends up winning by 10+

Houston -17.5 at Navy
- Navy has lost some key players to injury and Houston is just a different animal on defense this year. They should win it pretty easily, but again... road favorites have me feeling pretty snake bitten

I was thinking of going big on IU against OSU...

Not that OSU isn't great, but 28 points is a lot of points.

If the line keeps creeping up, or there is over 80% of wagers on OSU, I will have to pounce on IU out of principal.

 

[billmac91]

Taking FSU/Miami over 43....I've never seen an over/under move so much....it was 62 early this week and is now at 43 on Bovada.

I liked the under on 62 but I can't pass up the over 43. That seems like easy money. The weather shouldn't be a factor....Miami is beautiful right now(a little hot and humid) but the 43 shouldn't be driven by field conditions. I'm a little baffled honestly but I just hammered it.