2016 College Football Lines/Gambling Thread

[billmac91]

If any of you all use Bovada you may want to jump on this FSU vs UM line. They are the only book with it at 43. Everyone else is still in the 62 range. It has to be a mistake....Nearly all Vegas books have it at 62.

I'm half expecting my bet to be voided. I have a friend in Miami trying to wire me money to put on the over with my book since he isn't set up on Bovada.

 

[The Human Q-Tip]

Looks like my Mids have a shot at taking out the No. 6 team in the country....

 

[billmac91]

Navy is a motherfucker in the middle of your season. Claim another national contender.

I'm pissed....Bovada cancelled my two best with over 43 on FSU/UM game. It was a mistake.

I think that is pretty shitty.....to retroactively cancel a bet because your website inadvertently out up a bad line. And it was up for 2-3 hours as well. Just feel like that's on the book rather than the bettor.

As it is I have now taken the under 62. If FSU and Miami get to 62 points that's gonna be a helluva game. I just don't see it. Miami's defense has been stout this year and even with FSU secondary trouble, I feel like FSU keeps it respectable. 62 just feels like a lot.

43 was a dream come true though.

 

[billmac91]

Navy is a motherfucker in the middle of your season. Claim another national contender.

I'm pissed....Bovada cancelled my two best with over 43 on FSU/UM game. It was a mistake.

I think that is pretty shitty.....to retroactively cancel a bet because your website inadvertently out up a bad line. And it was up for 2-3 hours as well. Just feel like that's on the book rather than the bettor.

As it is I have now taken the under 62. If FSU and Miami get to 62 points that's gonna be a helluva game. I just don't see it. Miami's defense has been stout this year and even with FSU secondary trouble, I feel like FSU keeps it respectable. 62 just feels like a lot.

43 was a dream come true though.

Got lucky as hell....easily hit under 62 but Bovada would have won on my over 43. Game finished 20-19 in favor of Noles. Good day overall. Kentucky, Auburn, Texas Tech, Akron all came through. Missed on Pitt/Ga Tech. I need to get the days of Pitt playing close, low-scoring games out of my head. I keep thinking Narduzzi will right the ship but it's been shoot-outs.

 

[billmac91]

Having a pretty decent year in 2016.....few picks for tomorrow I like:

Maybe I'm a glutton for punishment, but Toledo being a +31 favorite against BGSU seems out of the realm of possibility for me. At some point this season, BGSU is going to get their cover. It's astonishing how shitty they've been though. But I like 31 points with rosters that truly aren't that far apart....

Michigan State -7 vs Northwestern.....I'll take the Spartnas here. I like their team so much more. Seems MSU is ready to open a can and get back on track.

Kansas +35 vs Baylor......Kansas actually been playing teams closely the last few weeks. I just think Kansas can keep this game within 35. Baylor isn't that step on your throat squad anymore either. Grobe has definitely reigned them in a bit.

Under 67 Ole Miss vs Arky....I just like Arky run game her and think score will be a lot lower scoring than 67

Houston -21.5 vs Tulsa....Tulsa plays into Houston's wheelhouse without the talent. I like Herman to have his boys pissed after Navy

OSU vs Wisky over 44.....I get why the point spread is 44, but that's low for a college game. I think OSU can put up mid 30's by end of night alone, if not more.

 

[FiveThous]

slightly off topic but does anyone have a good site for Hockey o/u. The few I've come across have every game a 5-5.5 o/u and the favorite as a 1.5 goal favorite no matter what, doesn't seem right to me.

 

[natedagg]

I feel like Syracuse/VT will NOT go over 68. It's down to 66, but I can't comprehend how it gets that high either.

 

[natedagg]

Having a pretty decent year in 2016.....few picks for tomorrow I like:

Maybe I'm a glutton for punishment, but Toledo being a +31 favorite against BGSU seems out of the realm of possibility for me. At some point this season, BGSU is going to get their cover. It's astonishing how shitty they've been though. But I like 31 points with rosters that truly aren't that far apart....

Michigan State -7 vs Northwestern.....I'll take the Spartnas here. I like their team so much more. Seems MSU is ready to open a can and get back on track.

Kansas +35 vs Baylor......Kansas actually been playing teams closely the last few weeks. I just think Kansas can keep this game within 35. Baylor isn't that step on your throat squad anymore either. Grobe has definitely reigned them in a bit.

Under 67 Ole Miss vs Arky....I just like Arky run game her and think score will be a lot lower scoring than 67

Houston -21.5 vs Tulsa....Tulsa plays into Houston's wheelhouse without the talent. I like Herman to have his boys pissed after Navy

OSU vs Wisky over 44.....I get why the point spread is 44, but that's low for a college game. I think OSU can put up mid 30's by end of night alone, if not more.

Feeling you on the BGSU game. I mean, with an O/U of 70 and a spread of 30, that's a final score prediction of 50-20. I really like what I saw from Toledo many weeks ago in a game that they ultimately lost to BYU, but they really haven't beat anyone good this year, so that's quite a spread...

The only other bet that I am taking (besides tailing a bunch of good cappers, of course) is Indiana Adjusted Spread -3.5 (+205) versus Nebraska. I did this for 4 units, so I am really pressing my luck here but it seems like the perfect storm (most of this is from the ESPN preview lol):
-Indiana lost to Wake Forest and OSU. Most importantly, against a top 10 OSU team, on the road, they were in that game. They got to handle a running QB when they face one today, and they did a nice job.
Nebraska was down to Illinois entering the 4th quarter.
Nebraska's only decent victory was against Oregon, who sucks this year.
Indiana only lost to a decent Wake Forest team because they lost the turnover battle 5-0. They outgained WF 611-352.
They held OSU to 380 yards, which is actually a pretty good accomplishment.
Nebraska's leading RB (by carries) is out. This likely will make blitz pickup a bit more challenging.
Here's the next paragraph, emphasis is mine: Tight end Cethan Carter and wide receiver Jordan Westerkamp are also doubtful with elbow and back injuries, respectively. And quarterback Tommy Armstrong, Jr., who makes the offense go, just got his ankle out of a walking boot but should be able to play.
Does that sound like he is going to be the same player? Missing several playmakers, running around against a team that just faced a good duel threat QB.

So there you go: I am taking this game in an adjusted spread bet and unless you or @AZ_ can convince me otherwise, will prob take it with the points, and straight up too.

 

[AZ_]

Feeling you on the BGSU game. I mean, with an O/U of 70 and a spread of 30, that's a final score prediction of 50-20. I really like what I saw from Toledo many weeks ago in a game that they ultimately lost to BYU, but they really haven't beat anyone good this year, so that's quite a spread...

The only other bet that I am taking (besides tailing a bunch of good cappers, of course) is Indiana Adjusted Spread -3.5 (+205) versus Nebraska. I did this for 4 units, so I am really pressing my luck here but it seems like the perfect storm (most of this is from the ESPN preview lol):
-Indiana lost to Wake Forest and OSU. Most importantly, against a top 10 OSU team, on the road, they were in that game. They got to handle a running QB when they face one today, and they did a nice job.
Nebraska was down to Illinois entering the 4th quarter.
Nebraska's only decent victory was against Oregon, who sucks this year.
Indiana only lost to a decent Wake Forest team because they lost the turnover battle 5-0. They outgained WF 611-352.
They held OSU to 380 yards, which is actually a pretty good accomplishment.
Nebraska's leading RB (by carries) is out. This likely will make blitz pickup a bit more challenging.
Here's the next paragraph, emphasis is mine: Tight end Cethan Carter and wide receiver Jordan Westerkamp are also doubtful with elbow and back injuries, respectively. And quarterback Tommy Armstrong, Jr., who makes the offense go, just got his ankle out of a walking boot but should be able to play.
Does that sound like he is going to be the same player? Missing several playmakers, running around against a team that just faced a good duel threat QB.

So there you go: I am taking this game in an adjusted spread bet and unless you or @AZ_ can convince me otherwise, will prob take it with the points, and straight up too.

I'm on Indiana

 

[natedagg]

OSU vs Wisky over 44.....I get why the point spread is 44, but that's low for a college game. I think OSU can put up mid 30's by end of night alone, if not more.

And 1 suggestion: just so you know, your book probably offers Team Totals, which might be nice for what I think you are going for here. So the OSU TT is 27.5. If you feel good about that, then by all means, that might be the way to go versus the O/U 44. Obviously you are a bright guy and can see how it could backfire or help to play the O/U instead, but based on what you said, that might be a more accurate bet for what you are trying to convey.

 

[natedagg]

I'm on Indiana

I can't decide whether or not I am psychologically betting on them because it would mean that OSU is better, or whether or not I just like it. A little of both I suppose...

 

[AZ_]

The only thing that gives me pause is the history of teams a week after playing an OSU/Alabama level team.

Those teams are ultimately physical and it's tough to recover.

 

[billmac91]

Always nice to get the cover by game going to OT....

Gritty ass win by the Bucks. Shocked the Big 10 would give the Bucks 2 straight games against a team coming off a bye. That seems absurd.....

 

[SanduskyCav]

So far a good start to the weekend.

Had BYU +7 Thursday
Cal -110 And Cal Oregon Over 89 Friday

 

[SanduskyCav]

Stanford -1 is easy money. With McCaffery coming back and Stanford playing at home I believe they will cover this easy.

I think Washington State -7.5 is easy money as well. Arizona State has one of the worst pass defenses in the nation and haven't been impressive at all this season. I think Washington State wins big.