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2019 College Football Season/Playoff Thread

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I was kind of surprised at 19 pt spread as Penn State usually provides a stiffer challenge. Yet, looking at the stats, shows why the spread is the spread..

Clifford is a good runner and threat ... yet Fields has 377 yards vs 374 ... with fewer carries (4.5 ypc vs 3.9)

Teague is said to be good enough to start for all but Wisc ... Brown and Cain have 870 yards combined vs 744 yards for Teague ... won’t even mention how Dobbins blows that out of water.

Fields is light years ahead of Clifford with 191 rating vs 154 rating and almost 10% higher completion percentage (69.1 vs 59.6).

Then even on defense, penn state is giving up over 50% more yards 335 vs 217.

Yes, Penn State has played 1 tougher opponent in Michigan vs our Cincinnati. Yet, that doesn’t skew stats that much. Penn State beat Mich St and Maryland like we did. Yet, Mich St was our worst game and Penn St one of their best. You look at some of other games like Minn and Ind and see their true self. They also played Buffalo and trailed 10-7 at half - a team that lost to Miami of OH 34-20. They also barely beat Pitt 17-10 who barely beat Syracuse 27-20.

It will take their best and our worst to lose. Day ain’t going to let that happen. Yes, Hamler May play and is deep threat. Yet, like Wisc, we will take away the best player w safety help and make rest beat us. We got great front 7 to contain their run. Put a safety over the top on Freirmuth with LB dropping underneath ... you can have one guy get his 5-6 receptions and not kill us. They have 2 receivers who are deep threats (over 17 yards) but let’s be realistic in how a bad defense gives up big plays where OSU defense will not allow them to be open by 5 yards. And, if it does rain, you take away their deep threats anyway.
 
Is anyone else just chomping at the bit? The season has felt like an exhibition up until this week. From here on out it is quality opponents and they just get better every week.

Yet Ohio State is better than most of the teams they will face by a decent margin. It will all come down to execution, playing our game and remaining hungry. Like, fuck, this next month is what college football is all about. I’ve had to listen all season long to Penn State, Michigan, Clemson, and LSU fans... now comes the time to shut them all up.

Man, I want this natty bad. Real bad. One week at a time though.

Clemson is the team I want to face but don’t want to face. Revenge would be great, but they’re a true wildcard. They’re uber talented, look great ever since the UNC debacle, but it’s all still been against high school squads so... hard to say if they’re truly back to being Clemson or what. LSU tho. I want a piece of that ass. And maybe I look dumb at the end of the year but there is just no statistical measure that doesn’t indicate the Bucks will score at will against that defense. Will be a matter of slowing Burrow down, and we have the beat secondary and pass rusher. Seems a solid recipe.
 
Clemson was catching a ton of shit throughout the course of the season but even though their opponents have been weaker they still look dangerous as hell. Etienne is crazy fast and that defense is the truth imo. Literally Tigers laying in the weeds.

I think LSU and that 53rd ranked defense that has problems ahead. Above all else I just hope we can take care of businesss; PSU is no slouch and as much as I hate to say it, ttun is looking good right now.
 
I was kind of surprised at 19 pt spread as Penn State usually provides a stiffer challenge. Yet, looking at the stats, shows why the spread is the spread..

Clifford is a good runner and threat ... yet Fields has 377 yards vs 374 ... with fewer carries (4.5 ypc vs 3.9)

Teague is said to be good enough to start for all but Wisc ... Brown and Cain have 870 yards combined vs 744 yards for Teague ... won’t even mention how Dobbins blows that out of water.

Fields is light years ahead of Clifford with 191 rating vs 154 rating and almost 10% higher completion percentage (69.1 vs 59.6).

Then even on defense, penn state is giving up over 50% more yards 335 vs 217.

Yes, Penn State has played 1 tougher opponent in Michigan vs our Cincinnati. Yet, that doesn’t skew stats that much. Penn State beat Mich St and Maryland like we did. Yet, Mich St was our worst game and Penn St one of their best. You look at some of other games like Minn and Ind and see their true self. They also played Buffalo and trailed 10-7 at half - a team that lost to Miami of OH 34-20. They also barely beat Pitt 17-10 who barely beat Syracuse 27-20.

It will take their best and our worst to lose. Day ain’t going to let that happen. Yes, Hamler May play and is deep threat. Yet, like Wisc, we will take away the best player w safety help and make rest beat us. We got great front 7 to contain their run. Put a safety over the top on Freirmuth with LB dropping underneath ... you can have one guy get his 5-6 receptions and not kill us. They have 2 receivers who are deep threats (over 17 yards) but let’s be realistic in how a bad defense gives up big plays where OSU defense will not allow them to be open by 5 yards. And, if it does rain, you take away their deep threats anyway.

Strange to highlight Michigan>Cincinnati without acknowledging that Wisconsin>Michigan and we shitstomped Wiscy. UM looks a lot better now than then, but still.
 
I am having a tough time finding a legit way for Oklahoma to make the top 4 without major chaos.

First off, they are already behind both Pac12 teams. And whoever wins the Pac12 title will (presumably) have a better win the Oklahoma has had all season, so the Pac12 Champ will actually separate further from Oklahoma. So they need BOTH Pac12 teams to lose at least once, meaning at least one of them loses one of their next 2 games before the Pac12 Champ game. (There is the scenario where USC wins the South, and maybe beating Ok State and Baylor again allows Oklahoma to leap Oregon, but it's a stretch).

Even if that happens, they have to be wary of scenarios like 11-1 Minnesota beating 12-0 OSU or 11-1 Georgia beating 12-0 LSU, or even PSU beating Ohio State. Those cases opens the door for 2 B1G or 2 SEC teams in the top 4. They really need PSU, Minnesota and Georgia not to win out.

And even with all that, they still would have to contend with 11-1 Alabama, who has been ranked well ahead of Oklahoma all year.

So I think their only path is:
- Major chaos in the B12
- LSU and OSU win out
- Bama loses to Auburn

And the weird thing....I don't see how Oklahoma is fundamentally all that different than last year. Their loss last year is better, but beating Baylor on the road is better than any win they had last year. And their defense is better than last year, and their offense is still great. I really don't see why the committee loved them way more last year.
 
I am having a tough time finding a legit way for Oklahoma to make the top 4 without major chaos.

First off, they are already behind both Pac12 teams. And whoever wins the Pac12 title will (presumably) have a better win the Oklahoma has had all season, so the Pac12 Champ will actually separate further from Oklahoma. So they need BOTH Pac12 teams to lose at least once, meaning at least one of them loses one of their next 2 games before the Pac12 Champ game. (There is the scenario where USC wins the South, and maybe beating Ok State and Baylor again allows Oklahoma to leap Oregon, but it's a stretch).

Even if that happens, they have to be wary of scenarios like 11-1 Minnesota beating 12-0 OSU or 11-1 Georgia beating 12-0 LSU, or even PSU beating Ohio State. Those cases opens the door for 2 B1G or 2 SEC teams in the top 4. They really need PSU, Minnesota and Georgia not to win out.

And even with all that, they still would have to contend with 11-1 Alabama, who has been ranked well ahead of Oklahoma all year.

So I think their only path is:
- Major chaos in the B12
- LSU and OSU win out
- Bama loses to Auburn

And the weird thing....I don't see how Oklahoma is fundamentally all that different than last year. Their loss last year is better, but beating Baylor on the road is better than any win they had last year. And their defense is better than last year, and their offense is still great. I really don't see why the committee loved them way more last year.

Maybe the committee is finally starting to realize that they're one dimensional frauds who have gone 0-3 in CFB Playoff games.
 
Can Osu split the next 2 games and still make the CFP
 
Texas A&M keeping it interesting in Athens. Kinda got jobbed by the refs on last possession with a chance to take the lead.
 
This is a 3 team year. Nobody deserves #4
 
Does 1-loss Oklahoma jump Alabama? I’m thinking LSU takes care of business in the conference title then they sneak back into that 4th spot that apparently no one wants. I wouldn’t shut the fuck up about Oregon for weeks lol

Shit forgot about Utah, but Oregon losing is going to devalue that conference title again — if ASU hangs on
 
Does 1-loss Oklahoma jump Alabama? I’m thinking LSU takes care of business in the conference title then they sneak back into that 4th spot that apparently no one wants. I wouldn’t shut the fuck up about Oregon for weeks lol

Shit forgot about Utah, but Oregon losing is going to devalue that conference title again — if ASU hangs on

Alabama still has zero quality wins. If they beat Auburn, I guess thats one? Over a 4 loss Auburn team?

Utah will jump them. But if Utah loses...then I guess it has to be Alabama?
 

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