I'mWithDan
"Straight Cash Homie"
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- Jul 21, 2010
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I never said he was the best prospect since Luck but ok.
Injuries are a small piece of the puzzle when assessing value. It's not, by any means, what several of you are making it in to. Many teams have made franchise altering mistakes by weighting injuries too heavily and not considering the range of positive outcomes based on talent alone.
Go find material on the best drafting teams in the NFL and see their philosophy on injuries. Good organizations view it as a market inefficiency. A way to acquire a player at a position in the draft they would otherwise likely not be available to or trade up for less than market rate.
Too many absolutes on Tua and injuries. Is it a concern? I mean, sure. When assessing analytical profile, does it matter? Not really. My argument is not that he doesn't have injury concerns, it is that he is possibly undervalued relative to his actual prospect profile. And his actual prospect profile is so good analytically, that a team should merely be playing roulette with the injuries and live with the result.
Many of you are too risk averse, especially relative to the value of a QB.
Based on what exactly? He's accurate, throws with anticipation and he's really good against pressure. What other trio would make a QB more likely to succeed? He also just has really nice touch. It's tough for many prospects to accurately throw at varying velocities and that's what can really make someone great who has just adequate arm strength.
You guys are making these blanket statements with no explanation behind them. Refuting isn't just saying something is wrong, it is presenting a compelling argument as to what might disprove that he's a franchise QB prospect.
Set aside the analytics if that is distracting for you guys. I think he also has some of the best recent film of just processing talent. Recognition of coverage, reaction to pressure and just understanding where the ball needs to accurately go. He is exceptionally good at making the correct pre-snap read. He just really understands coverage busting combinations and there's tons of film of him getting the ball out quickly when he needs to and also not bailing on his initial read if he does not. Some of the recognition plays he makes, especially on coverage underneath his desired route are just incredibly good. I think he needs to be a little more careful at the NFL level in the pocket but he has really good pocket awareness, sliding, stepping up, etc. His RPO film is a thing of beauty as well, something that has slowly become more trendy at the NFL level as well.
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