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2022 Season Series #32 | Guardians at Rays | July 29-31

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Wham with the Right Hand

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After splitting with the White Sox and Red Sox the Guardians conclude their 11-game road trip with a weekend series in Tampa against the 53-46 Rays, who are very good at home with a 31-18 record. The Rays won 6 of 7 against the Guardians last year. Also, the Rays are starting two lefties. This is going to be a very tough series and a sweep by the Rays is a distinct possibility.

The good news is that the Rays are not much of an offensive team, ranking 22nd in runs per game, 23rd in home runs per game, and 22nd in on-base percentage and slugging. In addition, they are really hurting in terms of injuries at the moment with 17 players on IR. The Rays are 2-5 so far in the second half, playing against KC and Baltimore. They have scored only 22 runs in those seven games.

The Rays are missing their starting centerfielder, Kevin Kiermeyer. They are missing their top two catchers, Mike Zunino and former Indian Francisco Mejia, who have combined for nearly 300 at-bats. Their catcher this weekend will apparently be Rene Pinto, hitting .190.

Their starting shortstop, Wander Franco, is also out. Franco is hitting .260/.704. His replacement, Taylor Walls, is hitting .169 in 261 at-bats.

Former Indian Harold Ramirez is killing it, hitting .329/.825 in 240 at-bats. He’s also on IR.

RF Manuel Margot, hitting .302/.788 in 51 games, is out.

The Rays are missing a lot of bats but they still have Yandy Diaz (.294/.807), Ji-Man Choi (.266/.799), and Randy Arozarena (12 HR, 47 RBI). But they do have some holes in their batting order. Last night they were shut out by the Orioles on 4 hits. Their 3-7 hitters last night had batting averages of .219, .205, .206, .204, and .144. Six of their nine hitters came in with BA’s of .206 or below.

Yandy is on a roll, hitting .358/.979 in July. But he's much better against lefties (.934 OPS than righties (.760). He'll probably see either McCarty or Pilkington Sunday so that should be a fun day for him.

What the Rays have is pitching. They rank 4th in baseball in team ERA and WHIP. They also have lefties, which the Guardians simply cannot hit. The G’s are hitting .220/.613 against lefties and .264/.735 against righties. The Rays will start two lefties in this series, starting with Jeffrey Springs tonight.

Springs, 3-2, 2.50, is 29 and has started 12 of his 20 appearances. His ERA at home is 1.76. Obviously Springs will present a huge problem for the Guardians. Shane Bieber goes for the G-Men. This could be a very, very low-scoring series.

The biggest offenders for the Guardians in terms of hitting left-handed pitching are Reyes (.172), Miller (.195), Hedges (.140), Maile (.143), Naylor (.213), and Hosey (.241). I shouldn't include Naylor since he hits left-handed; the others have no excuse. These guys need to figure out how to hit lefties, especially Reyes and Miller, who usually starts at first base for Naylor against lefties. Unfortunately, Owen can’t hit lefties and he can’t play first base.

Bieber is coming off his worst start of the season, a 6-inning, 6-run hiccup against the White Sox. The Rays should be just the ticket to get him back in the groove. Ji-Man Choi is 4-for-10 against Bieber with two doubles, so he needs to be careful with that guy, especially with men on base. This is the kind of series where one 3-run homer could cost you the game, just like last night.

Corey Kluber goes for the Rays on Saturday afternoon on ESPN against Plesac. Kluber is having a nice season at 6-6, 3.91. LHP Shane McClanahan, 10-3, 1.76, will dominate the G’s on Sunday against whoever we throw in there (no announcement yet).

The Rays have four relief pitchers on IR, including Wister (2.36 ERA), Beeks (2.48), Kittredge (3.15) and former Tribe farmhand J.P. Feyereisen (0.00 ERA in 24.1 innings). So their bullpen is somewhat depleted, in addition to their batting order. If our starters can shut them out through 6 or 7 innings and we can get to their bullpen with the game tied there's a chance to win late, which the G's have been pretty good at this year.
 
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Normally, splitting on the road against good teams is a good thing, but at the moment its merely treading water as Chicago goes down the stretch playing a schedule of bottom feeders.

Looking at the schedule back in May I'd have loved to have gone 5-6...even 4-7...on this road trip. Now,.....
 
By the way, the Guardians are in 4th place in the wild card standings, 2.5 games behind the Rays for the last wild card spot.
 
I dread watching our batting order going against LHP. I can't have a good feeling about this series. I expect Miller to make errors at first base, the usual black holes standing in the right hander's batter's box... not fun to watch.
 
Guardians are 19-7 in games decided after the 7th inning. The Rays have four relievers injured, including the two that have pitched the most innings (Wister, Beens) and the one with the lowest ERA (Feyereisen). They still have some good ones, but their bullpen is light. The four relievers on the IL who have pitched this season have thrown a combined 126 innings.

So the key for the Guardians is to be tied after six innings, or down by a run at worst. Scratching a run or two together against the left-handed starter would be really helpful. If not, at least run up his pitch count and try to get to their bullpen by the 6th inning.
 
The problem vs lefties will continue until the FO acquires at least one additional significant RH bat.

It will get even worse if Amed is traded, now, or in the winter.

No matter how highly thought of they may be, we can't merely bring up all our LH prospects and plug them into the lineup.

We are looking at a core right now of Jose, Naylor, Gimenez, Straw, and Kwan.

Adding Bo Naylor at catcher, and some combo of Jones, Gonzalez, Benson, Palacios, and Brennan to cover RF and 1B won't cut it.
 
I do not get this infatuation with lefty righty batters. The bigger question is

1) How many righty and lefty pitchers there are in mlb? Let's say it is 70/30 at best ... then you want 70/30 on your hitters (more lefties to face righties). Out of 13 position players that is 4 righties and 9 lefties (okay maybe 5-8 or 6-7 but we are not too far off).

Going forward -- We will have Straw, Lavastida and some form of 2 of 3 in Rocchio (switch), Freeman, Arias (at 2nd/SS with Gimenez and utility). That is 4 with Jose as switch and possibly Oscar, Miller and/or Noel coming up for 5-6 of 13 without Jose switch.

2) Of the lefties, what is their ability to hit lefty pitching well? Gimenez is 276/302 split ... Kwan is .293/.293 and Naylor is .304/.213 but are we going to pull him, based on this maybe? Are we pulling Jose?

So we have for lefties -- Lava (in some form maybe DH if Naylor is C), Jose, Gimenez/Rochhio, Arias/Freeman, Noel (in 2 years maybe), Straw, Kwan, Oscar/Valera, DH is open with Naylor splits

We are just sick of Clement and Mercado with Hedgie and Maile that we are complaining about ... but you have to think who is our utility/4th outfielder going forward? We have upgrades coming quickly.

And, we are not keeping all of Palacios, Brennan, Valera, Benson ... maybe trade one of a righty but it is not the end of the world if we do not.
 
We knew Yandy would be batting tonight but our old friend Yu is in the line-up batting #1/#9 and 3B/SS respectively.
 
We knew Yandy would be batting tonight but our old friend Yu is in the line-up batting #1/#9 and 3B/SS respectively.
I hope he has a career game while we win 15-6
 
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I do not get this infatuation with lefty righty batters. The bigger question is

1) How many righty and lefty pitchers there are in mlb? Let's say it is 70/30 at best ... then you want 70/30 on your hitters (more lefties to face righties). Out of 13 position players that is 4 righties and 9 lefties (okay maybe 5-8 or 6-7 but we are not too far off).

Going forward -- We will have Straw, Lavastida and some form of 2 of 3 in Rocchio (switch), Freeman, Arias (at 2nd/SS with Gimenez and utility). That is 4 with Jose as switch and possibly Oscar, Miller and/or Noel coming up for 5-6 of 13 without Jose switch.

2) Of the lefties, what is their ability to hit lefty pitching well? Gimenez is 276/302 split ... Kwan is .293/.293 and Naylor is .304/.213 but are we going to pull him, based on this maybe? Are we pulling Jose?

So we have for lefties -- Lava (in some form maybe DH if Naylor is C), Jose, Gimenez/Rochhio, Arias/Freeman, Noel (in 2 years maybe), Straw, Kwan, Oscar/Valera, DH is open with Naylor splits

We are just sick of Clement and Mercado with Hedgie and Maile that we are complaining about ... but you have to think who is our utility/4th outfielder going forward? We have upgrades coming quickly.

And, we are not keeping all of Palacios, Brennan, Valera, Benson ... maybe trade one of a righty but it is not the end of the world if we do not.
Pete:

The lefty/righty facts of life have been proven for years.

Right now, we have three batters on the roster with career OPS's of at least .800. Most on here want to trade away two of them.

In 2016-2018 we were top three in the AL in scoring.

Looking at batters with at least 200 PAs...

2016...seven out of ten were RH or Switch.

2017...seven out of twelve.

2018...nine out of twelve.

Unless you are talking about a lineup full of all stars, you are handicapped with an unbalanced lineup that can't hit lefties.
 
Please let the joke be over!

Kwan LF
Rosario SS
J Ramirez DH
Miller 1B
Reyes RF
Gimenez 2B
Clement 3B
Hedges C
Straw CF

Miller goes 0-4, Franmil goes 0-4, Clement goes 0-3, Hedges goes 0-3, Straw goes 1-3

Guardians lose 2-1
 
Please let the joke be over!

Kwan LF
Rosario SS
J Ramirez DH
Miller 1B
Reyes RF
Gimenez 2B
Clement 3B
Hedges C
Straw CF

Miller goes 0-4, Franmil goes 0-4, Clement goes 0-3, Hedges goes 0-3, Straw goes 1-3

Guardians lose 2-1

Clement is hitting .286 in July... He will go 1-3 with a single, and a walk! Lol
 

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