While my expected win total isn't quite as aggressive as yours they should see marked improvements in some key areas. I think the balanced schedule doesn't work in our favor and I also feel that unless the White Sox and Twins sustain an enormous amount of key injuries again we'll probably drop a few more to them. I think we could hit 92 again if things go right. I feel comfortable saying 88-92. I'm expecting a battle for the division.
Bullpens are unpredictable, but I think ours is going to be fantastic. Especially when Hentges returns. Certainly a strength for this team.
Miller is no 1B and was only used there as a last option. He did hit really well for the first month and a half, but about the time he started seeing reps at 1B is when he tanked offensively. I don't know if that's coincidence or not, but he never regained his form at the plate. I still think he's a very good hitter and that will probably show here soon.
Miller was an awful first baseman defensively. Not his fault because he was a middle infielder asked to play out of position, but his glove and his decisions were bad and his bat didn't play as a corner infielder, either.
I don't expect the G's to win the same or fewer than last year. They got off to a bad start before making some changes, like dumping Franmil, moving Kwan to leadoff and Straw to 9th, bringing up Oscar, and getting Karinchak back at the start of July, not to mention significant improvements in Hentges and Sandlin in the second half. The last two-thirds of the season they played at a 99-win pace and since then they added Bell and Zunino while losing nobody who played well last year (Shaw, Jones, Benson, Miller, Clement, Hedges, Maile).
On paper they're a better team than what they had in the second half. Chances are the White Sox will be better with fewer injuries and the Twins are always competitive. We have 12 less games against the Tigers and Royals and most of those games will be against stronger teams. A lot depends on the 4th and 5th starters, either Civale and Plesac or (if they aren't cutting it) their eventual replacements.
But we're not counting on any rookies to play key roles and we're not counting on any injured players to have bounce-back seasons, except Civale. The Sox are counting on guys who are hurt all the time to be healthy. No other team in our division was over .500 last year.
It's very possible both the Twins and Sox will be over .500 this year, but the Guardians have the best roster top to bottom and there are no weaknesses anywhere; starting pitching, relief pitching, offense, defense, depth, and the ability to make a trade or two if necessary. We have no 30-somethings whose performance might drop off (like Nelson Cruz the last couple of years). This is a young team that is still getting better and the rule changes will help them generate even more stolen bases. The elimination of the shift will most likely result in career seasons for Naylor and Jose, probably Bell and Zunino, too, since they are pull hitters. Everything is looking awesome at this point.