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Cleveland Browns 2020 Regular Season: What a Ride!

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This feels like a must win. I expect it to be our best coached game and Baker seems to be in a nice, rich lather of a rhythm.

Browns in 6.

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There's a lot that can be inferred from this, but I like to look at it as the difference in coaching. Freddie as the coach and the Browns are 1-6 as well. Also, when we lose, WE LOSE!

I see coaching improvements:
  • Seems like the team has a game plan that work for a half instead of 1 scripted series and confusion after that.
  • Team almost always gets set for plays with time on the play clock this year
  • Reduction in penalties keeps drives alive, helps get stops.
  • No players have been ejected so far this year.
  • We saw some really good clock management decisions in the last game.
  • The team has deferred when they won the toss, unlike the first 8 games last season. True, deferring only helps a team when there is good clock management before the half, so maybe Freddie's choices make sense in that light.
  • The team doesn't try to run kickoffs out of the end zone as often. ( Average return is only 20 years, so running it out is usually a losing proposition, not to mention that the chance of a fumble on a return is bigger that the chance of a TD)
But then there's turnovers.
  • 17-8 Turnover-Take-a-way ratio through 7 games last year.
  • 9-14 Turnover-Take-a-way ratio through 7 games this year.
I imagine Browns record would look at lot worse with an extra turnover per game.

Don't know if turnovers can be coached or not, but running the ball when you got the lead seems like a good way to reduce turnovers, so play calling probably helps.
 
Potential bet Sunday v raiders, how we stack up?

I feel good about the Browns covering the spread, but it will be a back and forth battle. Both teams have defensive issues.

I feel really good about betting the over. I could see both teams scoring over 25 points easily.
 
I see coaching improvements:
  • Seems like the team has a game plan that work for a half instead of 1 scripted series and confusion after that.
  • Team almost always gets set for plays with time on the play clock this year
  • Reduction in penalties keeps drives alive, helps get stops.
  • No players have been ejected so far this year.
  • We saw some really good clock management decisions in the last game.
  • The team has deferred when they won the toss, unlike the first 8 games last season. True, deferring only helps a team when there is good clock management before the half, so maybe Freddie's choices make sense in that light.
  • The team doesn't try to run kickoffs out of the end zone as often. ( Average return is only 20 years, so running it out is usually a losing proposition, not to mention that the chance of a fumble on a return is bigger that the chance of a TD
The bold to me is the single most important thing - its shows consistent organization from the coaching staff, and that is the root of all things positive. Every other bullet (save the first one) benefits from players knowing what they're being asked to do well before the play clock runs down. It was so frustrating last year to see the offense rushing to the line to snap the ball almost every play.
 
I see coaching improvements:
  • Seems like the team has a game plan that work for a half instead of 1 scripted series and confusion after that.
  • Team almost always gets set for plays with time on the play clock this year
  • Reduction in penalties keeps drives alive, helps get stops.
  • No players have been ejected so far this year.
  • We saw some really good clock management decisions in the last game.
  • The team has deferred when they won the toss, unlike the first 8 games last season. True, deferring only helps a team when there is good clock management before the half, so maybe Freddie's choices make sense in that light.
  • The team doesn't try to run kickoffs out of the end zone as often. ( Average return is only 20 years, so running it out is usually a losing proposition, not to mention that the chance of a fumble on a return is bigger that the chance of a TD)

What's really so impressive about things like getting to the line on time, reductions of penalties, etc., is that it all happened with a very truncated offseason. It's very clear that this is a very organized, disciplined coaching staff. That's particularly important given our emphasis on the running game -- huge difference between having to get just 10 yards in 3 downs versus 15+. Even 5 yard procedure penalties can be drive killers.
 
Potential bet Sunday v raiders, how we stack up?

Over 50.5 looks like easy money. Maybe too easy. What is the weather supposed to be like?

If Vegas was getting 3.5 instead of 2.5, I'd be all over that too. As it is, I'd probably just bet the total.
 
  • The team doesn't try to run kickoffs out of the end zone as often. ( Average return is only 20 years, so running it out is usually a losing proposition, not to mention that the chance of a fumble on a return is bigger that the chance of a TD)

We havent had a 20 year return since Josh Cribbs played for us. Also, i think there are few Eric Metcalf returns where Metcalf is still running.
 
He beat out current Brown Malcolm Smith on the Niners and started a number of games as a rookie two years ago. He is primarily a run stuffer and special teams player, weak in coverage.
Any pff grades on him?
 
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