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Game Thread | 2021-2022 Season | Game #21 | Cavs @ Mavs | Nov. 29, 2021

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Wham with the Right Hand

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The Cavs get back on the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks, who are 10-8 and have lost four of five. However, those losses were to Phoenix (17-3) twice, the Clippers (11-8) twice, and Washington (13-7). Dallas is 6-2 at home.

Dallas has been beating up on weaker teams; 9 of their 10 wins are against teams .500 or below. They are 1-7 against teams over .500.

This will be a game between two teams who are significantly better defensively than scoring the ball. This could be another low-scoring slugfest where points are hard to come by.

The Mavericks are 23rd in points per game and 29th in points in the paint, so I don’t see them scoring a lot inside against the Cavs. They are mainly a 3-point shooting team, ranking 7th in 3-point rate. However, they are only 22nd in 3-point shooting percentage, so they probably take more 3’s than they should given the results.

Despite missing two-thirds of their 3-point shots, the Mavs are only 22nd in offensive rebounding. Their biggest strength offensively is ball protection; their turnover percentage is the lowest in the league. The Mavs are averaging 104.1 points. The Cavaliers should be able to hold them under 100 unless the Mavs get hot from deep.

Doncic runs the offense, averaging 25.5 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 8.1 assists. He’s shooting 44.0% overall and 31.5% from deep - not the greatest percentages. Kristaps Porzingas, 7’3”, is back, averaging 20.5 points on 45.6%. Point guard Jalen Brunson, a 2nd round pick in 2018, is averaging 15.1 points and 5.3 assists in 29 minutes. However, Brunson has a foot injury and is listed as questionable. Doncic is their primary point guard.

Defensively the Mavs are 11th in scoring, so they’re above average defensively. They’re 2nd in defensive rebounding so you better make your first shot. They’re a little below average in points in the paint so the Cavs should take it inside. The Mavs are only 23rd in block percentage.

I don’t think the Mavericks are as good as their 10-8 record suggests as they are 1-7 against winning teams and 9-1 against .500 and below. They’re the second worst team in the NBA at scoring in the paint and the Cavs defend the paint very well, so Dallas will live or die by the outside shot tonight and they’re only shooting 33.3% on 3’s.

Defensively they’re not great at shot blocking or defending the paint so I can see the Cavs having success pounding the ball inside with Frobley and Mark. This actually looks like a pretty good matchup for the Cavs and if they can force the Mavs to shoot a lot of contested 3’s they should hold them to around 90-95 points which gives them a chance to win.

It could come down to the Mavericks ability to hit from outside against the Cavs’ ability to score in the paint. Dean Wade and Cedi Osman are listed as day-to-day.
 
Mavericks have tricked their fans and own front office into thinking they can compete with this roster. I think we will win pretty easily unless Luka goes nuclear.
 
In this year's NBA where parity is commonplace, matchups from team to team are more significant than we've seen in the past. I believe the Cavs match up incredibly well with this Mavericks team on paper. I expect them to win and get experience closing a game against a quality opponent.

Okoro will bother the shit out of Luka. All of the Cavs' bigs match up collectively well with KP. The Mavericks don't defend very well. Unless they get red hot from outside, they will struggle to score.
 
In this year's NBA where parity is commonplace, matchups from team to team are more significant than we've seen in the past. I believe the Cavs match up incredibly well with this Mavericks team on paper. I expect them to win and get experience closing a game against a quality opponent.

Okoro will bother the shit out of Luka. All of the Cavs' bigs match up collectively well with KP. The Mavericks don't defend very well. Unless they get red hot from outside, they will struggle to score.
He absolutely won’t. Okoro is way too small for Luka. I would stick Wade on Doncic personally.

Okoro’s biggest defensive weaknesses are getting stuck on screens and being too small to contest well. That’s a recipe for disaster against Luka who’s primary weapons include step back threes (while being a good 3 inches taller than Okoro) and using the PnR to put the defender in jail and then either hitting the floater or throwing the lob.
 
He absolutely won’t. Okoro is way too small for Luka. I would stick Wade on Doncic personally.
I don't think he'll stop him, but he'll be a gnat that annoys him. If Wade gets some burn off the bench, he's an interesting option too. Same for Stevens.

Doncic going 1 on 1 inside against Okoro plays right into the Cavs' strengths. He's not bombing threes in that scenario, and their shot blockers will be in the area.
 
He absolutely won’t. Okoro is way too small for Luka. I would stick Wade on Doncic personally.

Okoro’s biggest defensive weaknesses are getting stuck on screens and being too small to contest well. That’s a recipe for disaster against Luka who’s primary weapons include step back threes (while being a good 3 inches taller than Okoro) and using the PnR to put the defender in jail and then either hitting the floater or throwing the lob.
If he's healthy, this is the kind of matchup Wade is good for. He played Doncic well last year and he's a better perimeter defender now than he was. I'm not saying start him, but if Doncic starts giving us trouble, he's a good option. Not to mention, that while Wade doesn't put a lot of pressure on the opposing D, he at least requires attention that Okoro doesn't.
 
I don't think he'll stop him, but he'll be a gnat that annoys him. If Wade gets some burn off the bench, he's an interesting option too. Same for Stevens.

Doncic going 1 on 1 inside against Okoro plays right into the Cavs' strengths. He's not bombing threes in that scenario, and their shot blockers will be in the area.
The problem with Doncic getting inside is that Mobley will be out chasing Porzingis on the 3 point line. The Porzingis/Mobley match up is one I'm looking forward to. I think Mobley plays him well, but Porzingis is a unique matchup.
 
Dallas favored by 6.5 points against the Cavs?

I guess Vegas heard DWade is out of the lineup, only explanation I can think of. It's understandable due to his Finals performance against them. Would get the whole team in foul trouble.

Hope Cedi can give it a go, but if not, it's all good. Rest up.
 
Cedi hurt his back again?
 
The Cavs actually have a better road record (5-4) than they do at home (5-6), which is very unusual for a young team, like the Cavs. The Mavs play well at home, but, if the Cavs play like they have been on the road, they can absolutely win this game.
 
The problem with Doncic getting inside is that Mobley will be out chasing Porzingis on the 3 point line. The Porzingis/Mobley match up is one I'm looking forward to. I think Mobley plays him well, but Porzingis is a unique matchup.
Porzingis is hitting 34.1% on 3's; not bad but not real scary, either.
 
The Cavs actually have a better road record (5-4) than they do at home (5-6), which is very unusual for a young team, like the Cavs. The Mavs play well at home, but, if the Cavs play like they have been on the road, they can absolutely win this game.

I'd venture to guess that our worse home record is due, in part, to the timing of our home/away games and of our injuries (esp. Mobley).
 
Porzingis is hitting 34.1% on 3's; not bad but not real scary, either.
its enough that you have to play him honestly. Even with Mobley's great reach and ability to recover, he will have to keep in touch with him because at 7'3" Porzingis isn't bothered by late closeouts.
 
I'd venture to guess that our worse home record is due, in part, to the timing of our home/away games and of our injuries (esp. Mobley).
I'd tend to agree that injuries coupled with some really tough opponents has adversely affected our home record.
 
Part of KP’s bounce back under Kidd has been from operating inside more than he did under Carlisle.

If KP is playing solely on the perimeter, that benefits the Cavs.
 

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