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Magic Number - 1 for Division ... Minni Eliminated ... Our Elimination of #2 seed is 2

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BigJ0526 said:
if you would of told me at the start of the year that we are in mid september and leading the division, i would of laughed in your face.

glad to see i was wrong. i am happy to be so very wrong
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General health, and unexpected production from certain sources (Kwan, Gimenez, OGonz) will do that for you when the rest of the division either never gets going or breaks down due to injuries (White Sox, Twins). But given the age of the success stories and the depth of the minors I feel confident that this team will get better not worse going into the future, so that likely means more playoffs.
 
Will add that the bottom of the order is no longer bottoming out.

Their willingness to play situational small ball in recent weeks has done wonders to amp up our ability to compete... when on paper we may have a roster that's traditionally out gunned in the batter's boxes.
 
MGMT said:
I think my issue was I construed you response in a “talk down” tone.
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Then I do apologize and I didn't mean to offend you or others as I wrote it as I saw others were confused by my wordiness and thus tried to simplify it (cliff note version). I wasn't per se commenting on your post ("I am with ..."), I forgot I even hit reply to it. Was just one of many others who commented on my wordiness / over analyzing lately. I just tried to match some other silliness and be a little light hearted myself. And, honestly, it was meant to be more self-deprecating about me and my boss saying I need to focus on basics vs my math geekiness. It wasn't at you. I started this thread for us Geeks who like to dig into things we wouldn't bother those that like the 1 line -- magic number is xx or playoff odds at xx% that is in game day threads. Thus, tried to imply that I am the one who is too geeky vs what everyone else enjoys (as my boss always told me). I went with a quip that was rushed and could be/was taken the wrong way which I am sorry for.

But, also if you and others are allowed to say "I am with (Stupid implied)" or show other memes with headaches, why are others not allowed to be a little silly as well? Again, I was just trying to relate cliff notes to my over analytical thinking (as a proud member of AV/computer club in the days of Atari and Commador 64s) not directed with what others were also saying/implying with their memes that I am too geeky as I know that ... but I shouldn’t have hit reply back to you directly. Sorry again.
 
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petes999 said:
Then I do apologize and I didn't mean to offend you or others as I wrote it as I saw others were confused by my wordiness and thus tried to simplify it (cliff note version). I wasn't per se commenting on your post ("I am with ..."), I forgot I even hit reply to it. Was just one of many others who commented on my wordiness / over analyzing lately. I just tried to match some other silliness and be a little light hearted myself. And, honestly, it was meant to be more self-deprecating about me and my boss saying I need to focus on basics vs my math geekiness. It wasn't at you. I started this thread for us Geeks who like to dig into things we wouldn't bother those that like the 1 line -- magic number is xx or playoff odds at xx% that is in game day threads. Thus, tried to imply that I am the one who is too geeky vs what everyone else enjoys (as my boss always told me). I went with a quip that was rushed and could be/was taken the wrong way which I am sorry for.

But, also if you and others are allowed to say "I am with (Stupid implied)" or show other memes with headaches, why are others not allowed to be a little silly as well? Again, I was just trying to relate cliff notes to my over analytical thinking (as a proud member of AV/computer club in the days of Atari and Commador 64s) not directed with what others were also saying/implying with their memes that I am too geeky as I know that ... but I shouldn’t have hit reply back to you directly. Sorry again.
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All good boss, glad we talked. I mean that. I’m looking forward to reading more of your thoughts and insight
 
CATS44 said:
I'm just happy that I dont have to watch some combination of Morris-Gaddis-Pilkington start three games in a little over 24 hours and our pen get fried before we get to Chicago.
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I be ecstatic if 2 of the 3 pitched well.
 
Twins are now basically done.

If we win 2 out of 3 at Chicago, we’re basically in.

If we only win 1, we’re still in pretty good shape.

Get swept and I still think we have a better shot but it’s close.
 
col63onel said:
Twins are now basically done.

If we win 2 out of 3 at Chicago, we’re basically in.

If we only win 1, we’re still in pretty good shape.

Get swept and I still think we have a better shot but it’s close.
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i think i saw that the twins are eliminated at this point. Though that could be wrong info.

Gs magic number is now at 12 (if i did my math correctly)

If Gs win 1 game against the sox, they probably only need 4, maybe 5 wins the rest of the way with 6 games against KC, 3 against texas, and 3 against TB. Basically should be an automatic.

If they get swept by the sox, they probably need to win 6 or 7 with those other games.
 
Mini elimination number is like 8. MLB says 9 but they assume a 3-way tie where they think Minn can win a 3-way tie breaker but they cannot (we win a 3-way -- see my update 1st post at bottom which is complicated)
www.mlb.com

Baseball Standings

The official standings for Major League Baseball
www.mlb.com www.mlb.com

So now Cle is 4 GU, going into Chicago, the scenarios are

Cle win 0 - We would be 1 GU (without TB), we will need equal or greater number of wins in final 12 games as Chicago - Chi 1 win more then us, we tie (and lose division)

Cle win 1 - We would be 3 GU (With TB) after series, Chi will need 4 more wins in final 12 games (for example, we are 6-6, they need 10-2 -- this is the 3 game swing in magic number)
............. Cle 80-67 and Chi 76-71 becomes 81-69 and 78-72 - 3GU/3GB after Thurs

Cle win 2- We would be 5 GU (with TB) Chicago will need 6 more wins than us in final 12 games
 
petes999 said:
Was this meant for me ... in that I could run another scenario where we lose 3, Twins win 5 and ...... Good Grief, I need a few drinks just thinking about it...:falloff: Even I would lose my sanity just thinking about it.
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and "that's what she said"..
 
Y’all wanted playoffs? You got it. These next three are as close as it comes without actually being in the postseason. We have our horses going two. The bullpen is relatively fresh after the past two days. All we really need is 1. But you want the actual playoffs? Win 2. Then it’s bedtime for bonzo. Tony La Russa being bonzo of course.
 
we are at the last 100 meters of the marathon. its clear in front. all we gotta do is get to the line.
 
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