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I wouldn’t go as far as saying I feel confident enough about the Browns to win that I’d put money on it, but the Pats are 1-4 at home and their only impressive win was against the Chargers. Lost to the Dolphins, barely beat the Texans. Their resume isn’t anything special. And their offense is pretty garbage. Harris and Stevenson may not play. If the defense gives up more than 20 points than Joe Woods should be fired on the spot.
Jesus, you have cherry picked what you want to see about the Patriots pretty badly. They are fifth in the NFL in points surrendered, ninth in yards against. It's a good defense.
After a 1-3 start, the streaking Patriots are poised to overtake the division lead, trailing the Bills by a half game. Like many teams who start a rookie QB, they are getting better every week.
I hate the Patriots as much as the next guy, but see them for what they are.