Drummond has been the opposite of what I expected. I know it's only four games but he's been a monster on defense and a liability on offense.
Basketball Reference has him 1st in the NBA in Defensive Win Shares. He's 3rd in block percentage, 2nd in defensive rebound percentage, and 6th in steal percentage. Put it all together and he's the best defender in the league so far. He wasn't kidding when he said he wants to be the DPOY. He's actually on track for that.
Offensively it's a different story altogether. He's 345th in offensive win shares out of 403, so he's been one of the worst in the league offensively. He's 151st in turnover percentage and 172nd in true shooting percentage. He turns the ball over a lot, mostly dribbling, and misses too many shots and free throws. Combining offense and defense he ranks 77th in total win shares per 48 minutes. Considering there are 150 starters he's right on the average.
What hurt him in this small sample is the Detroit game where he was forcing up a lot of bad shots and went 7-for-21. He's shooting just over 50% the other three games. The last two games he's 18-for-31 from the field (58%) and has cut down on the ridiculous shots.
I believe that as the season progresses his excellent defense will continue and his offense will improve as he learns he doesn't need to dominate the ball and take a ton of shots on this team. Right now he's taking a lot of shots because Nance is in for Love and Nance avoids shooting at all costs unless he has a wide open 3 or an uncontested dunk. Also, Okoro is avoiding taking shots unless he is unguarded. When Exum is in he doesn't look to score. So right now Dre is taking a lot of shots, along with Garland and Sexton, who combined for 35 last night.
Once we get Love and Porter back on the floor and once Okoro starts asserting himself a little more Drummond's shot volume should decrease and his percentage increase. His turnovers should also decrease with fewer touches but his offensive rebounding will remain consistent or probably increase since he'll be shooting less and crashing the glass more.
In the last two games he's taking fewer shots and better shots. I think he's trending in the right direction offensively.
By the way, in Defensive Win Shares Drummond is 1st, Nance is 2nd, and Garland is 6th. Yep, 6th. I don't buy that. McGee is 18th and Sexton 25th. Kyrie is 14th. This is a stat I'm not too sure about.
Trae Young leads the NBA in win shares, offensive win shares, and win shares per 48 minutes. He's 8th in assist percentage and the Hawks are 3-0. Young is 22 years old.