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A closer look at Bradley Beal

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What makes Beal so much better than John Jenkins? I don't see a difference between them big enough to cause a difference of around 20-30 picks
 
What makes Beal so much better than John Jenkins? I don't see a difference between them big enough to cause a difference of around 20-30 picks

After having just read JJ's DX profile, it essentially said all he does is shoot. He doesn't pass, handle, play D, and is a below average athlete.

"In analyzing the rest of Jenkins' offensive game, he's still fairly limited at the NCAA level and there are question marks about what else other than shooting he could consistently contribute with in the NBA. Jenkins struggles both getting a good step on his man on dribble-drives and elevating for high-percentage shots in the lane, as he's held back by his below average athletic tools. He can make up for this somewhat with a strong mid-range game and if he better develops his floater, but it's hard to see him consistently contributing going to the basket in the short term.

Jenkins also could stand to improve as a passer, something he doesn't do much of for the Commodores with just 1.1 assists per game. He shows decent vision and ability making simple passes from the perimeter to cutters when he's looking, but often just isn't asked to do that in his team's offense, where he is heavily relied on for his scoring. Adjusting well here and expanding this area of his game could be helpful to his long term prospects, as this is the most likely area he can contribute something outside of his perimeter shooting.

Defensively, Jenkins' limitations are still evident, as he lacks the lateral quickness to consistently stay in front of guards, something that could be even more of a problem in the NBA. His effort level and fundamentals are solid enough, and he's decent from a positional defense standpoint, but it'll likely be a struggle for him to ever be an average defender in the NBA. Going to a team where he's very well utilized offensively to offset his defensive shortcomings will be key to how large an impact he has in his career."
 
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Ww9lXcfEd14" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 
I like when the sow the shots back-to-back without breaks, gives you a little better gauge of how they're shooting. Obviously they still cut out any misses, but it's still nice to see him hit 5-6 in a row.
 
I like when the sow the shots back-to-back without breaks, gives you a little better gauge of how they're shooting. Obviously they still cut out any misses, but it's still nice to see him hit 5-6 in a row.

If he's not shooting them one handed, I'm not impressed:

<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/nZPJDyhXeAo" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="360" width="480"></iframe>
 
If he's not shooting them one handed, I'm not impressed:

<iframe src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/nZPJDyhXeAo" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="360" width="480"></iframe>

Wonder why that team didn't work out??
 
Brad Beal is as good as gone once Washington is up. They need shooting in the worst way possible and I'm sure they view him as a perfect compliment to the broken jump shooting John Wall in their back court.
 
Brad Beal is as good as gone once Washington is up. They need shooting in the worst way possible and I'm sure they view him as a perfect compliment to the broken jump shooting John Wall in their back court.

I'm a little convicted on Beal for the following reasons:

1. There aren't alot of 6'3" 2-guards in the NBA. We can count on one hand the number of undersized 2 guards who have gone in the top 5 of the draft. Hopefully Beal can become like Eric Gordon, but with a better shot. It should be interesting to see what his height and wingspan measurements are at the NBA Draft Combine next week.
2. While his shot looks fantastic in that video, he shot only 33% from 3-point range this past season. That's not that high for a guy who is being compared to Ray Allen and is supposedly a marksman. I can't help, but wonder what he will shoot from the longer NBA 3-point distance.

For the above reasons, I wouldn't say that it's a given that Beal goes in the top 5.
 
Shit, if Beal is anywhere near 6' 4" in shoes, he seems like he would be very difficult to pass on. 6 days until the combine...
 
We could have Beal lite in Doron Lamb later on the draft.
 
Brad Beal is as good as gone once Washington is up. They need shooting in the worst way possible and I'm sure they view him as a perfect compliment to the broken jump shooting John Wall in their back court.

I know...it makes me sad...

:(
 
I'm a little convicted on Beal for the following reasons:

1. There aren't alot of 6'3" 2-guards in the NBA. We can count on one hand the number of undersized 2 guards who have gone in the top 5 of the draft. Hopefully Beal can become like Eric Gordon, but with a better shot. It should be interesting to see what his height and wingspan measurements are at the NBA Draft Combine next week.
2. While his shot looks fantastic in that video, he shot only 33% from 3-point range this past season. That's not that high for a guy who is being compared to Ray Allen and is supposedly a marksman. I can't help, but wonder what he will shoot from the longer NBA 3-point distance.

For the above reasons, I wouldn't say that it's a given that Beal goes in the top 5.

Hope and reasonable expectations are two very different things. Gordon is a career 37% 3pt shooter in the NBA. Like Beal, he sort of struggled from deep to the tune of 33.7% in his one year in college despite his billing as a shooter. But he also put up 21 pts/game and was noticeably quicker, more explosive, and a better ballhandler and finisher in college, all of which have carried over to his NBA career along with improved shooting from deep. If not for the injuries, I think he'd be held in much higher regard in this league. I don't see Beal becoming all of those things but with even better shooting. You did say "hopefully," so please don't take this as some sort of attack, but I just dislike the Eric Gordon comparison almost as much as the Ray Allen one for those reasons.

And really this is my concern with Beal. When I try to come up with a comparison it's either a) Yeah the game is sort of similar but [Brandon Roy or James Harden] is significantly taller and/or longer or b) Yeah [Wade or Gordon] has been successful despite being undersized at the SG position like Beal, but Beal's not nearly as explosive an athlete or as sudden a ballhandler.

I'm not saying that for every prospect there needs to have been a predecessor with the exact body/abilities who has found success in the NBA, but it's still a concern for me. And even still, Dumars in the NBA seems like a pretty good comparison, though that was a different era for sure. And I don't think Beal will be a bad player by any stretch. I'm just starting to think he's maybe the biggest beneficiary of the "what have you done for me lately" phenomenon out of anyone in the draft and I'm just not sure he's as much of a sure thing as everybody seems to expect.
 
I'm really struggling with taking the rationale for taking Beal in the top 5 for the following reasons:

-he's reportedly only 6'3", which is obviously undersized for a 2-guard.
-he's supposedly a marksman from the outside, but he shot only 33.6% from 3-point distance, which was worse than all of the other top 2-guard prospects.
-he's not an elite level athlete. At least he's not in the same class as Eric Gordon, another undersized 2-guard, who was the #8 pick by the Clippers.

Jeremy Lamb has superior length, athleticism, & was a better shooter this past year. Lamb seems to have a higher NBA ceiling than Beal does.
 
I'm really struggling with taking the rationale for taking Beal in the top 5 for the following reasons:

-he's reportedly only 6'3", which is obviously undersized for a 2-guard.
-he's supposedly a marksman from the outside, but he shot only 33.6% from 3-point distance, which was worse than all of the other top 2-guard prospects.
-he's not an elite level athlete. At least he's not in the same class as Eric Gordon, another undersized 2-guard, who was the #8 pick by the Clippers.

Jeremy Lamb has superior length, athleticism, & was a better shooter this past year. Lamb seems to have a higher NBA ceiling than Beal does.

Lamb wasn't a better shooter than Beal this past year, if you want to get technical Beal was .3% better

Lamb didn't measure out as crazily as expected. He has good length and size, but it's not much better than Beal last reported measurements, which is 6'4.5" not 6'3"

Beal is also a much better creator for his teammates, a better rebounder, is more skilled and doesn't have the questionable tendencies like Lamb.
 

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