Why do all these QBs shrivel as soon as the spotlight goes on them...
Irritating crop this year
Folks are saying this was Lynch's worst game, which may well be true given that it's the only game of his I've seen. But from what I've been reading about him, the game was a pretty good indicator of his overall strengths and weaknesses.
To me, there are two basic types of pro-prospect QB's. The first type are the guys who tear it up in college, and the concern only is whether or not their game will "transition" to the NFL. That could be the pro-system guy like Luck, or the spread guy like Couch or even (arguably) Manziel, whose college success really can't be questioned.
The second type are the guys who still have holes in their college game, so they must not only transition their game to the NFL, but also develop/improve upon specific skills that were
demonstrably lacking. You could still be a good prospect like Carr, for whom the concern was not performing well when the pocket is pressured. To me, Lynch falls into that second category.
Physically, I'd grant him that his relative lack of accuracy against Navy -- he missed some pretty open guys by quite a bit -- was an anomaly. That seems to be the consensus anyway. So his size, mobility for that size, arm, and accuracy are all pluses. And I saw really good pocket awareness, and he didn't panic under pressure.
But it's the other mental stuff I'd question. He really did look primarily like a one-read guy, and when he was going through progressions, he looked like he did so slowly. The "tell" here is that Navy runs a pretty swarming 3-4 defense, and plays a lot of zone. That seemed to confuse him a bit, and probably was what threw him off his game in terms of accuracy. That's a concern because Navy is generally not home to the most talented athletes in Division 1. Most people expected him to pick them apart, so him seeming somewhat confused/befuddled was a bit of a red flag.
Related to/amplifying that problem is a relatively long, slow delivery. If a guy has difficulty reading defenses and going through progressions, then a slow delivery just exacerbates the problem because it further reduces the time the QB has to make a decision. That's definitely an issue for Lynch right now.
He's probably a guy who could use another year of college ball to improve on that stuff before he faces even more complicated, and faster, defenses in the NFL. But he's probably coming out anyway.
Maybe that game will be a learning experience, and he'll demonstrate some improvement against a good opponent later this year. But I imagine that the interviews, etc., are going to be a pretty important factor when it comes to exactly where he gets drafted.