FYI -
@Out of the Rafters at the Q @thedarkness2332 @FiveThous
I saw a DVOA conversation a few pages ago. I think you guys may be misunderstanding what it is and how it is measured.
DVOA is a regression that looks at how given plays effect the odds of winning, over time, and then applies those results as predictive weights.
Because of how it functions, it is great at analyzing holistic results, and cross-positional value. A difference in DVOA within a position, however, is mildly less descriptive. It shows you, quite literally, who the most efficient players are at each position, but it does not have a direct relationship on who is contributing most to winning.
So, in many ways, DVOA is parallel to RPM. They analyze the same thing, but, they are valuable in opposite ways.
Also, as someone mentioned, NFL is hard to evaluate, because the sample is incredibly small and you have twenty-two players playing at once. This further adds to why DVOA is better at analyzing across positions then within positions.
I also think Jarvis is mildly overrated. But that’s mainly because I do not actually find slot receivers that important. Nonetheless, Jarvis is one of the best slot receivers in the NFL, and he was playing way out of position last season. I’ll be excited to see how he performs this year.