2022 Cleveland Guardians Regular Season Thread

[33Y0]

Player	BA	xBA
Gimenez	.300	.301
J-Ram	.289	.275
Oscar	.285	.281
Rosario	.282	.293
Naylor	.276	.267
Kwan	.274	.267
Palacios	.256	.266
Miller	.240	.248
Franmil	.210	.206
Mercado	.207	.209
Straw	.193	.230
Clement	.186	.234
Maile	.167	.171
Hedges	.160	.176
Arias	.105	.190

Player	BABIP
Oscar	.351
Gimenez	.347
Franmil	.333
Rosario	.322
Palacios	.303
Kwan	.298
Miller	.283
Naylor	.279
J-Ram	.276
Straw	.237
Mercado	.233
Maile	.231
Clement	.221
Arias	.182
Hedges	.180

Player	WAR
J-Ram	3.9
Gimenez	2.3
Rosario	1.5
Naylor	1.3
Kwan	1.1
Straw	0.8
Oscar	0.7
Miller	0.5
Leon	0.1
Palacios	0.0
Maile	0.0
Hedges	-0.1
Arias	-0.3
Mercado	-0.5
Clement	-0.5
Franmil	-0.7

 

[Criznit]

Have an organizational philosophy.

Stick with it in non reactionary ways

Bring up prospects on an individual basis when you believe they are ready, not as a reaction to someone else playing like shit or because “well they couldn’t do any worse”

It’s simple

I believe Brennan is ready for a shot.

 

[DJTJ]

This is an ultra stupid question, because I know what BABIP is but how to judge it is off in my head, so if anyone wants to take a crack at it…

If BABIP routinely favors contact hitters over power /K guys, is the value in comparing apples to apples?

As in, you wouldn’t compare Player A, who will k 100 times and hit 30 homers with player B, who will K 50 times and hit 10 homers, right? Wrong?

 

[MirORich]

I believe Brennan is ready for a shot.

Does Antonetti and James Harris and the scouts and coaching staffs?

No one is infallible, but I trust their judgements pretty strongly. Feel like they’ve earned that.

I personally have no clue which of these guys are ready or needs a little more seasoning

 

[33Y0]

This is an ultra stupid question, because I know what BABIP is but how to judge it is off in my head, so if anyone wants to take a crack at it…

If BABIP routinely favors contact hitters over power /K guys, is the value in comparing apples to apples?

As in, you wouldn’t compare Player A, who will k 100 times and hit 30 homers with player B, who will K 50 times and hit 10 homers, right? Wrong?

Line drives go for hits more often than groundballs, and groundballs go for hits more often than flyballs. This means that a batter with a specific batted ball profile might be prone to higher or lower BABIPs.

 

[Criznit]

Does Antonetti and James Harris and the scouts and coaching staffs?

No one is infallible, but I trust their judgements pretty strongly. Feel like they’ve earned that.

I personally have no clue which of these guys are ready or needs a little more seasoning.

Don't know, I do expect them to be aggressive though. How that manifests itself is the $1,000,000 question.

 

[sportscoach]

Have an organizational philosophy.

Stick with it in non reactionary ways

Bring up prospects on an individual basis when you believe they are ready, not as a reaction to someone else playing like shit or because “well they couldn’t do any worse”

It’s simple

You aren't wrong...

Problem is how do we deal with little power and multiple positions slumping pretty bad, it's hard to stay patient with so many struggling. With a hit here and there, we easily have a much better record. It's one of those we are close to competing, we want to see if some changes can help reach that goal.

This is a season to figure out who and what we have so we can make a move to get to the playoffs. When do we make that move though? We have been better than projected plus we have a ton of legit prospects, so we can move for about anyone...

It's easy to get impatient isn't it when you are close ya know? I think that's more than problem than anything right now. We are close and we want to get there, but the FO has been patient like you said and the impatient people want something done now.

 

[PocketMonger]

We could trade for Bryan Reynolds. That's one way of helping the offense for the next 3.5 years. Just a thought.

 

[33Y0]

Bullpen stats

Player	WAR
Clase	1.3
Morgan	0.9
Stephan	0.5
De Los Santos	0.3
Hentges	0.2
Karinchak	0.1
Young	0.0
Gose	-0.2
Castro	-0.4
Sandlin	-0.5
Shaw	-0.5

Player	FIP	xFIP
Young	-2.89*	-2.89*
Karinchak	0.11*	0.11*
Clase	1.86	2.17
Morgan	2.70	2.75
Stephan	2.85	3.57
Hentges	3.18	2.70
Gose	5.06	4.36
Shaw	5.78	4.24
Sandlin	6.00	6.05
Castro	8.23	5.09

Player	BABIP
Pilk	.167
Morgan	.194
Sandlin	.196
Clase	.239
Hentges	.239
Gose	.244
Shaw	.247
De Los Santos	.279
Stephan	.310
Castro	.406
Karinchak	1.000*
Young	1.000*

Player	LOB %
Young	100.0%*
Sandlin	84.6%
Hentges	84.0%
Shaw	78.4%
Clase	75.2%
De Los Santos	74.5%
Stephan	71.0%
Gose	69.7%
Karinchak	66.7%*
Castro	60.7%
Morgan	59.8%

 

[Gson]

This is an ultra stupid question, because I know what BABIP is but how to judge it is off in my head, so if anyone wants to take a crack at it…

If BABIP routinely favors contact hitters over power /K guys, is the value in comparing apples to apples?

As in, you wouldn’t compare Player A, who will k 100 times and hit 30 homers with player B, who will K 50 times and hit 10 homers, right? Wrong?

fwiw.. in the purest form.. BABIP, alone, doesn't give a helluva lot of context..

Combine it with a statistic that would seem to make sense:

BABIP combined with exit velocities.. says soft contact makes out.. lowers BA... but hard hit higher exit velos say that smash is going through the infield and more likely to be raise BA..

With the coming change in shift rules.. this could become "THEEE" most important offensive stat for the young Guardian hitters..

or it could be more of that stat mumbo jumbo crapola that ________________ is always spewing?..

We'll see..

 

[DickyLeftridge]

The take that "I trust the organization" is just so lazy. Who doesn't? Have you thought of that? Do you think when I see a trade come through for some guy like Yohan Ramirez I've never heard of or a Zimmer for Castro trade that my default is, "this guy must suck"? No one thinks that. I assume the organization who has uncovered from obscurity Corey Kluber, Shane Bieber, Jose Ramirez, Cal Quantrill, Zach Plesac, Tanner Bibee, and on and on and on knows what they're doing far more often than not.

But again, they are not infallible.

You want the organization's great track record to stand in for your past takes and to also never be challenged. If you don't criticize the organization after trading and then immediately extending a guy who is literally the worst hitter in all of Major League Baseball, when would you challenge them? Under what scenario would you say "you know what, the org just flat missed on that one" if not this literal exact scenario?

The answer is you won't. So just admit it. It's not "I think the organization has earned our trust." They have it, bub. Who are you talking to. What you really mean is "I'm never going to criticize the FO, particularly not when I've strongly supported the move for which they might deserve criticism, so consider this post for what it is--me padding my post count so my eBuds can give me more likes."

And once again, everything I just said is dead nuts facts.

 

[ZinAZ]

Have an organizational philosophy.

Stick with it in non reactionary ways

Bring up prospects on an individual basis when you believe they are ready, not as a reaction to someone else playing like shit or because “well they couldn’t do any worse”

It’s simple

Does anybody really believe Arias is ready?

 

[sportscoach]

Does anybody really believe Arias is ready?

He looked good in spring, but I don't know if he's 100% back from the hand injury... I kind of want to see Jones and Freeman personally.

 

[Gson]

Does anybody really believe Arias is ready?

No..

He had one really good at bat while in Detroit that resulted in a walk.. The rest of his AB's/PA's... tentative..

 

[daddywags]

Have an organizational philosophy.

Stick with it in non reactionary ways

Bring up prospects on an individual basis when you believe they are ready, not as a reaction to someone else playing like shit or because “well they couldn’t do any worse”

It’s simple

While I agree with this in principle, I think good organizational plans have to have built-in flexibility to accommodate changing circumstances. Inflexible plans can lead to frustrating failures that are, in turn, too easily sloughed off with "we're just following the plan."