Tomorrow’s game is absolutely NOT the most important game of the year. That is silly. It is also not worth three games. Some of you are losing perspective here. A loss tomorrow means we still have about a 75% chance of winning the division and three other chances at securing the tiebreaker.
I will take 90% to 75% change to our playoff hopes any day of the week if I can get it even if it is just 55% chance with McK vs what I assume is 20%-30% chance with Gaddis. And, isn't that the sports mentality -- don't take your foot off the opponents' throat? These 538/ESPN gamecast odds are just ridiculous at times. As I pointed out yesterday, ESPN shows us a 60%+ chance of winning with Gaddis over Lynn and even 538 seems high with 45% chance of win with Gaddis.
And, even though as you said elsewhere, we SHOULD win 1 out of 3 in Chicago to get that tie-breaker that us posters (who lost perspective) want, it is no guarantee especially coming off 10 games in 9 days without a break going into it that series in Chicago. We could just as easily get swept.
three games and have three rookies going the following three games while risking destroying our pen.
I get this but in my crazy mind (and just to play devils advocate as it is fun to spur conversation) was just trying to show that even a 20-30% shift in odds of throwing McK over Gaddis today for 2 -3 points vs Chicago is better than going from 50% odds of winning vs Minni in game 2 of DH (with normal pitchers) to 0% as it only counts to 1 point change in magic number (assuming Chicago is our threat). That 0% chance, forfeit basically, is assuming that we want to save our pen by throwing Gaddis, McCarty and Clement in Game 2 of DH. This saves the pen because even in Tito's game plan, McCarty and Gaddis are down in Columbus resting on Monday with Curry up. Thus, you only have our long-term ballpen players going with Pilk on Sat and Morris on Sun which is what is ending up happening anyway.
But in reality, I am fine with what they are doing but was just being a contrarian to push some discussion (have a little fun) otherwise it might as well be crickets here as we shouldn't question anything that Tito/Chris combo does or says as Straw is great and should is the unquestionable starter for next 5-6 years of his contract. But my wife thanks the board for questioning my sanity (loss of perspective). And its time to go, I see the padded wagon out front about ready to take my nervous broken-down ass away. Think the neighbors got worried as I was trying to find a different way to skin a cat (than my usual ways) yesterday in the front yard. The school kids were running away screaming. So, I will leave everyone to watch the game today believing that just because Chicago lost yesterday that we have a realistic chance with Gaddis today of winning (sarcasm of course
as I like Gaddis, as a reliever down the road, next year).