Also, it's easy to mock the "____ HOF player sucked his first few years" takes, but another I realized today, as long as people are arguing the "Baker already at ceiling!!" canard, is that it took Brady until his 8th season (7th if you want to throw out his rookie redshirt year) to score more than...
...28 passing TDs, i.e. 1 more than 2018 Baker and 2 more than 2020.
Granted, slightly different game now (albeit not like comparing to the 1990s or before,) and he had a personal best by 22 TDs the next season, but this idea that "the book is written" on Baker with him still awaiting his 27th birthday is absurd.
Hell, the 2001 miracle season (18 TDs, 12 INT, 2843 yds in 15 reg season games) looks, technically, a lot like the 2021 Baker disaster. (Yes, I know I'm starting to sound like the infamous reddit "regressing Mahomes to the mean" post.)