Collin Sexton | The Young Bull

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MirORich

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So far, the following guys from the 2017 Draft Class have got MAX deals:

D’Aaron Fox
Donovan Mitchell
Bam
Tatum
Ingram

2018 Draft Class will be up next summer for potential extensions.

-Luka and Trae will get a Max for sure
-Ayton and JJ jr likely will
-Bamba and Wendell Carter Jr no way
-Bagley shouldn’t but who knows with the Kings

After that it’s Collin, SGA, and MPJ up for consideration.

If Collin improves even slightly over last years numbers, he is going to compare very favorably to Mitchell, Fox, and Jamal Murray(maxed out from the 2016 draft class)

Will be interesting to see what happens
 

foucault87

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Max contracts are way more common now than when I first started following the league. I think its because the new CBA made it a fixed percent of the cap which along with a general talent influx in the last decade made a lot more borderline cases qualify.

Would you give prime Michael Redd a max? Probably not but I bet he gets one in this era. If not a max, close to what hayward got.
 

MirORich

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Ultimately, if you are between the age of 23 and 30 and either already or profiling to be one of the best three players on your team, their are very good odds that you will get the MAX appropriate to your service tome in the league.

It’s a huge cap and with the max contracts tied to % of the cap rather than no limit, it’s just the economics of the NBA and the economics of talent procurement and stability.
 

Cavatt

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Ultimately, if you are between the age of 23 and 30 and either already or profiling to be one of the best three players on your team, their are very good odds that you will get the MAX appropriate to your service tome in the league.

It’s a huge cap and with the max contracts tied to % of the cap rather than no limit, it’s just the economics of the NBA and the economics of talent procurement and stability.

AND a lot of players get that first max on potential. Rubio, Wiggins, Drummond, etc. No way these players get it again.
 

OptimusPrime

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it seems like max contracts have really inflated the value of simply “good” players.

It's more that the existence of max and minimum contracts deflates the value of the best players. But the union couldn't function if LeBron James was making $100 million a year and Cedi Osman was making $50,000.
 

Alec Zander

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It's more that the existence of max and minimum contracts deflates the value of the best players. But the union couldn't function if LeBron James was making $100 million a year and Cedi Osman was making $50,000.
Thanks for that info. My intuition was telling me something like that but I couldn’t phrase it. Totally agree.
 
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Cavatt

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Would be curious to see some sort of analysis comparing the quality of a max signing with market size to see how much of a disadvantage smaller markets are in.

Definitely makes you wonder if a small market is more willing to give one out because fear of retention. However, on the other hand I think a large market probably thinks they can get off it easier through a trade and just sign a max player.
 

LeeBuckeye

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Can or should Sexton get the max?

(1) Post-All-Star stats:

25.5/4.2/2.9 on 52.8/43.1/80.3 shooting splits then absolutely yes. Small sample size of 11.

(2) Pre-All Star stats:
19.8/2.7/3.2 on 46/36.5/85.9 shooting splits is the FLOOR for him IMO and this included a BAD stretch from deep in November (30.8%) and December (11.1%). He lost so much confidence in November that it crept to an even worse month in December where he only shot the three ball 1.9 time per game.

He absolutely was an efficient scorer and finisher in all of 2020 for 32 game sample size and was a candidate for player of the week and player of the month a few times. IMO he’s headed for a max extension and usually these things have nothing to do with team success coming off rookie deals.
 

Cavatt

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Can or should Sexton get the max?

(1) Post-All-Star stats:

25.5/4.2/2.9 on 52.8/43.1/80.3 shooting splits then absolutely yes. Small sample size of 11.

(2) Pre-All Star stats:
19.8/2.7/3.2 on 46/36.5/85.9 shooting splits is the FLOOR for him IMO and this included a BAD stretch from deep in November (30.8%) and December (11.1%). He lost so much confidence in November that it crept to an even worse month in December where he only shot the three ball 1.9 time per game.

He absolutely was an efficient scorer and finisher in all of 2020 for 32 game sample size and was a candidate for player of the week and player of the month a few times. IMO he’s headed for a max extension and usually these things have nothing to do with team success coming off rookie deals.

You are totally right about that
 
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