Just wanted to do a rundown of the potential playoff contenders and their quality games left:
1 OSU (11/21 MSU, 11/28 @TUN, B1G IOWA/NW)
- They haven't been great and people want to drop them, but I have to assume if they figure out a way to run the table against two very good teams to end the regular season and then beat a potentially undefeated Iowa or one loss NW, they should be all good.
2 BAY (11/14 OKLA, 11/21 @OKST, 11/27 @TCU)
- TCU is obviously the big one. OKST and OKLA could be 3 and 4 loss teams (respectively) by the end of the year, so those might not carry a ton of weight.
3 TCU (11/7 @OKST, 11/21 @OKLA, 11/27 BAY)
- Same thing goes for TCU. Gotta run the table and hope a team from another conference (undefeated or 1 loss) doesn't have a better resume.
4 UTAH (11/21 UCLA, PAC 12 STAN/CAL)
- UCLA may not end up being a big win, but they've already done work with wins against MICH, ORE, and CAL (although the last two may end up being not as impressive in retrospect, especially ORE). Beating a good Stanford team would definitely secure a spot though.
5 CLEM (11/7 FSU)
- Beating FSU is important, but if FLA goes in the tank after losing their QB then FSU won't be the strongest of wins. They can still hope though that ND runs the table the rest of the year and beats a good STAN to close out the year.
6 LSU (10/17 FLA, 11/7 @ALA, 11/21 @MISS, 11/28 TA&M, SEC FLA)
- If they run the table they're in and probably #1. Losing 1 of those and they would still probably have a chance depending on the landscape of the rest of the SEC. Beating FLA (potentially) twice may not be as big of a deal anymore depending on if they go in the tank after losing their QB.
7 MSU (10/17 @TUN, 11/21
@OSU, B1G IOWA/NW)
- The ORE win has taken a hit, but running the table easily secures them a spot (probably second behind an undefeated SEC team).
8 FLA (10/17 @LSU, 11/28 FSU, SEC LSU/TA&M/ALA/MISS)
- Beating LSU on the road given their current predicament would be massive. FSU would be a good win too if they beat CLEM. Even if they lose to LSU this week, they have a unique chance to redeem themselves with a quality win in the SEC title game.
9 TA&M (10/17 ALA, 10/24 @MISS, 11/28 @LSU, SEC FLA)
- Again, run the table and they're in. That ASU win has taken a hit, but they still have a more than compelling argument to get in depending on what they do down the stretch.
10 ALA (10/17 @TA&M, 11/7 LSU, SEC FLA)
- That WIS game isn't impressive anymore. The UGA win is heading that way as well. But running the rest of the table still gets them in the conversation, I'm sure.
11 FSU (11/7 @ CLEM, 11/28 @FLA)
- Winning their only two big games on the road would push them up the board, but if FLA falls apart then they would be with TCU and BAY trying to talk up the one big win they have.
12 TUN (10/17 MSU, 11/28 OSU, B1G IOWA/NW)
- Their one loss looks pretty damn good right now. Winning out easily gets them in.