MalTalm
Formerly known as Talm
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- Aug 12, 2008
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lets say we get into december and neither side has budged on a long term contract.
Think the Cavs really want to lose out on a full season on Tristan Thompson.?
lets say the Cavs do trade that first pick for another power forward.. This really opens the door for Portland to make an offer no matter how disinterested they really are.
as far as Lost leverage its abundantly clear that the QO offer was not providing any leverage as in the savings it offered the Cavs
Ultimately though there will come a point where the question becomes . does it Thompson help improve your odds of winning a championship. The answer be the yes and the Cavs wont care about "winning" the negotiation and Thompson will be at risk of losing an entire season.
Thats when you will have a deal and if the cavs arent willing to go into that 83-87 range and Thompson wont accept a 3 year deal. a One year deal will be settled on to get Thompson onto the court.
This logic is terrible.
The Cavs have multiple ways to address a hole created by TT if they assume he's not coming back. TT has no way of returning to the NBA without reaching terms with the Cavs. If Thompson sits out a year, he leaves somewhere in the vicinity of 15 mil on the table, and he's still a restricted free agent. At that point, he'd have to sign a near max deal just to break even had he played at a reduced rate this year, and his leverage hasn't changed whatsoever...
If the Cavs go trade for a replacement and Thompson signs a 2 year deal for 24 mil, the Cavs could still match it and simply trade him away. In this scenario, Thompson is still leaving roughly 6 mil on the table and there's still no guarantee he'd be able to recoup it on the back end. Your argument is predicated on the basis that with Thompson, the Cavs chances of winning a championship are substantially improved versus him sitting out. I'm a Thompson supporter, but he's still the first big off the bench who provides elite rebounding and some quickness in the frontcourt. That can be replaced. Even if the replacement gives you 80% of what Thompson does, it would do little to impact the winning percentage of this roster.
This team will mostly be fueled by the trio, everyone else is a role player. Sure, Thompson makes us better than no Thompson, but not anywhere near what RP is asking. I honestly thought Paul still had an ace up his sleeve by reaching out to another team the way Varejao did. But there won't be many teams who will want to sign up for even 2 years of Thompson if it means taking themselves out of the FA running next summer. He's simply not worth a ticket to the upcoming FA frenzy next summer.
EDIT
And there's no way the Cavs sign TT to a one year deal. This FO has valued accumulating assets above all else, they aren't about to let a young big walk away in FA. There's almost zero incentive to do that on a minor gamble that a 6th man might be the difference between a championship and a loss. If the Cavs don't budge, Thompson will HAVE to. Going a year without basketball could fundamentally destroy his career, and that's not hyperbole.