AZ_
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Then here's a quote from trading you should know: 'From failed moves, come fast moves'
Again, this really only makes sense if you're charting an equity, but it mostly means, if a stock doesn't move above/below a 'target line' (based on TA) it typically fails and fails hard. I know humans aren't stocks, but there has to be an 'opportunity cost' factored in to having a starting pitcher who already won two Cy Young's for you. Not everyone is going to win 500 games.
And nobody is going to pretend playoff sample size is transitive YoY.