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Today Zach Plesac locks horns with right-hander Corbin Burnes, 9-4, 2.38. Burnes has been especially good away from home; his road ERA is a miniscule 1.83. In 16 of his 24 starts he has held the opposition to one run or less. Opponents are hitting .207 for the season. However, he did have five starts where he allowed 4-5 runs, so he has an off-day about one time every five starts. The Indians will have to hope today is one of them.
Burnes is much more comfortable pitching from a wind-up, allowing a .176 BA with nobody on base. With runners on it increases to .260 and with runners in scoring position it's .287. One key to beating this guy is to consistently get runners to second base, but as tough as he is from the windup that's not easy.
The third time hitters face him in a game their BA is .339, so the key is to get as many batters on base as possible in the first four innings and try to get to the third time through the order as early as possible. But if Burnes has his normal stuff the Indians probably won't score. They would not have scored yesterday against Houser if not for two errors that led to unearned runs.
Zach Plesac is not having the season he wanted between the stupid self-inflicted injury and the 4.53 ERA. I was surprised, however, to see his record is 10-4. He's earned those wins, though, in 8 of his 10 wins he allowed 2 runs or less and in another win he allowed 3. The only cheap win he got was when he gave up 5 runs in 7 innings in a 6-5 win. Three of his four losses were in April. He's 9-1 since May 1 with an ERA of 4.16. But he's had five games where he pitched badly but got a no-decision when the offense bailed him out.
Plesac has thrown the ball well in his last three starts with an ERA of 2.55 in 17.2 innings. But the Brewers will be a tough test. With a six-man rotation Zach has three starts left after today and I know he wants to finish strong to mitigate some of the disappointment of this season.
Last year in eight starts he had a 2.28 ERA. I doubt that anybody thought he has the talent to replicate that over a full season, even one not interrupted by a broken bone in his pitching hand that cost him nine weeks, but we were hoping for a duplication of his 3.81 ERA of 2018 than this year's 4.53.
In the last five games the Indians are 2-for-28 with RISP, which is a BA of .071. For the season the Indians are hitting .248 with RISP so they are really choking lately. Josie is a big part of the problem with 7 hits in his last 33 AB's. He's still getting his walks, though, with 9 of them over that time frame. But I've seen him foul off 90 mph fastballs right down the middle, and that's not like him. Franmil is 2-14 over his last four games. Our #3 and #4 hitters need to start doing more damage and everybody needs to stop chasing bad pitches with RISP.
Burnes is much more comfortable pitching from a wind-up, allowing a .176 BA with nobody on base. With runners on it increases to .260 and with runners in scoring position it's .287. One key to beating this guy is to consistently get runners to second base, but as tough as he is from the windup that's not easy.
The third time hitters face him in a game their BA is .339, so the key is to get as many batters on base as possible in the first four innings and try to get to the third time through the order as early as possible. But if Burnes has his normal stuff the Indians probably won't score. They would not have scored yesterday against Houser if not for two errors that led to unearned runs.
Zach Plesac is not having the season he wanted between the stupid self-inflicted injury and the 4.53 ERA. I was surprised, however, to see his record is 10-4. He's earned those wins, though, in 8 of his 10 wins he allowed 2 runs or less and in another win he allowed 3. The only cheap win he got was when he gave up 5 runs in 7 innings in a 6-5 win. Three of his four losses were in April. He's 9-1 since May 1 with an ERA of 4.16. But he's had five games where he pitched badly but got a no-decision when the offense bailed him out.
Plesac has thrown the ball well in his last three starts with an ERA of 2.55 in 17.2 innings. But the Brewers will be a tough test. With a six-man rotation Zach has three starts left after today and I know he wants to finish strong to mitigate some of the disappointment of this season.
Last year in eight starts he had a 2.28 ERA. I doubt that anybody thought he has the talent to replicate that over a full season, even one not interrupted by a broken bone in his pitching hand that cost him nine weeks, but we were hoping for a duplication of his 3.81 ERA of 2018 than this year's 4.53.
In the last five games the Indians are 2-for-28 with RISP, which is a BA of .071. For the season the Indians are hitting .248 with RISP so they are really choking lately. Josie is a big part of the problem with 7 hits in his last 33 AB's. He's still getting his walks, though, with 9 of them over that time frame. But I've seen him foul off 90 mph fastballs right down the middle, and that's not like him. Franmil is 2-14 over his last four games. Our #3 and #4 hitters need to start doing more damage and everybody needs to stop chasing bad pitches with RISP.
