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2022 NBA Draft Safari

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1 Houston - Banchero
2 OKC - Holmgren
3 Cavs - Hardy
4 Twolves - Nzosa
5 Magic - Duren
 

1 OKC - Holmgren

2 Rockets - Banchero

3 Pistons - Hardy

4 Magic - Duren

5 Cavs - Adrian Griffin Jr SF – Duke – HT: 6-6 – WT: 200 – WING: 7-0 – Fr – A tough, big wing with a rock solid frame, tons of talent and great basketball bloodlines. Plays above the rim with ease and can light it up from downtown.

There's a few guys I like better than AGJ, but there are absolutely worse players to get in 2022...
 
Jaden Hardy would be amazing as a scorer as well as the small forwards mentioned above.
 
Small Forward Watch 2022

Nikola Jovic - Unless he gains a lot of weight, I’m seeing a SF, even at 6’10”Three level scorer. Dribbles like a wing. Plays aggressive. Really eager to see what he does in his pro league this year.

AJ Griffin - One of the youngest guys in the draft class but has an NBA ready body at still under 18. Broad shoulders, wide base, it’s like looking at at a teenager with Jimmy Butlers current frame/body. Hard to tell watching clips against HS and U19 international competition but just seemed to have a little extra swagger and dog in him then some of the other wings. Father is NBA player and now coach Adrian Griffin

Ousmane Dieng - French but going to play pro in the NBL this coming year so we’ll be able to come his impact nicely to LaMelo, Giddey, and RJ Hampton. The most wiry of the main SF prospects but plenty of bounce, dribble, range, and long strides. Can’t really tell much about his defense from what I looked at but do the French players play physical? He probably could stand to gain a little weight and strength.

Caleb Houstan - Michigan commit and another young talented Canadian player. Body type reminded me a bit of Michael Porter JR. Looked aggressive and seemed like a leader on the U19 Canadian team.

Patrick Baldwin, Jr. Milwaukee commit( to play for his dad who coaches there). Like Jovic and Houston, another 6’10” listed player who is not skinny by any means but still seems to have more of a SF game and body control than a PF game.

Peyton Watson - UCLA commit. Really gangly body type, like a younger Giannis Durant, or Pascal Siakam. Body type and posture in these comparisons, not saying he’s a future Durant or Giannis, Dribble is really loose/high right now. 5 star recruit though. @daytripper any west coast AAU thoughts/intel on Watson?

I’m sure there will be more names to follow as traditionally a lot of the best NBA SF of the past 15 years have been 2nd or 3rd year college guys who weren’t taken in the high lotto like Kawhi, Butler, PG13, Hayward, and Jimmy Butler. Maybe someone like Julian Champagnie(an @Nathan S favorite), Earl Timberlake, Marcus Bagley, or even EJ Liddell could end up following that same path.

But for now, I think these are the main ID’d as elite prospect guys to keep our eyes on and scout/run the numbers throughout the course of the year.
 
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Yeah AJ Griffin really does look like Jimmy Butler out there when he plays. Both his body and his style of play.
 
Not really...I don't know where to find high school stats or how to use them effectively tbh. So I can only talk about returning players.

Do you have any desire in running through about 6-7 returning guys if I gave you the names? Absolutely zero pressure.
 
Small Forward Watch 2022

Nikola Jovic - Unless he gains a lot of weight, I’m seeing a SF, even at 6’10”Three level scorer. Dribbles like a wing. Plays aggressive. Really eager to see what he does in his pro league this year.

AJ Griffin - One of the youngest guys in the draft class but has an NBA ready body at still under 18. Broad shoulders, wide base, it’s like looking at at a teenager with Jimmy Butlers current frame/body. Hard to tell watching clips against HS and U19 international competition but just seemed to have a little extra swagger and dog in him then some of the other wings. Father is NBA player and now coach Adrian Griffin

Ousmane Dieng - French but going to play pro in the NBL this coming year so we’ll be able to come his impact nicely to LaMelo, Giddey, and RJ Hampton. The most wiry of the main SF prospects but plenty of bounce, dribble, range, and long strides. Can’t really tell much about his defense from what I looked at but do the French players play physical? He probably could stand to gain a little weight and strength.

Caleb Houstan - Michigan commit and another young talented Canadian player. Body type reminded me a bit of Michael Porter JR. Looked aggressive and seemed like a leader on the U19 Canadian team.

Patrick Baldwin, Jr. Milwaukee commit( to play for his dad who coaches there). Like Jovic and Houston, another 6’10” listed player who is not skinny by any means but still seems to have more of a SF game and body control than a PF game.

Peyton Watson - UCLA commit. Really gangly body type, like a younger Giannis Durant, or Pascal Siakam. Body type and posture in these comparisons, not saying he’s a future Durant or Giannis, Dribble is really loose/high right now. 5 star recruit though. @daytripper any west coast AAU thoughts/intel on Watson?

I’m sure there will be more names to follow as traditionally a lot of the best NBA SF of the past 15 years have been 2nd or 3rd year college guys who weren’t taken in the high lotto like Kawhi, Butler, PG13, Hayward, and Jimmy Butler. Maybe someone like Julian Champagnie(an @Nathan S favorite), Earl Timberlake, Marcus Bagley, or even EJ Liddell could end up following that same path.

But for now, I think these are the mains celebrating ID’d as elite prospect guys to keep our eyes on and scout/run the numbers throughout the course of the year.
Excellent post & appreciate the summary. A few points I’d like to add:

-Holmgren is so thin and with his ability to shoot the long ball, he could very well end up at SF. He’s similar to KD in a lot of ways.
-there’s questions about Jovic’s athleticism, so I’m not sure he will be able to play as a SF in the NBA, at least defensively.
-Griffin reportedly has a 7’0” wingspan, so I think he’s a legit SF.
-I’d add Kendall Brown of Baylor to your list. He’s a dynamic athlete and defender, who is currently being projected in the 10-20 range, like Dieng, but could easily move up.
-Arizona’s Benedict Mathurin is another guy to keep a close eye on, as he too could move up. Lots of promising wings in the 2022 class.
 
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Sure, easy

These are the guys I have in mind:

Benedict mathurin 6'7" Arizona SO
Jabari Walker 6'8" Colorado SO
Keegan Murray 6'8" Iowa SO
Julian Champagnie 6'7.5" St John's SO
Matthew Mayer 6'9" Baylor SR
Johnny Juzang 6'7" UCLA JR
Marcus Bagley 6'7" ASU SO

Feel free to add, or subtract, anyone you see fit.
 
These are the guys I have in mind:

Benedict mathurin 6'7" Arizona SO
Jabari Walker 6'8" Colorado SO
Keegan Murray 6'8" Iowa SO
Julian Champagnie 6'7.5" St John's SO
Matthew Mayer 6'9" Baylor SR
Johnny Juzang 6'7" UCLA JR
Marcus Bagley 6'7" ASU SO

Feel free to add, or subtract, anyone you see fit.

OffDefTotUncertainty
Bennedict Mathurin0.978-0.0080.971.453
Jabari Walker1.1081.8672.9751.517
Keegan Murray-0.7661.0880.3221.966
Julian Champagnie0.862-1.182-0.322.129
Matthew Mayer0.443-0.0190.4242.611
Johnny Juzang-1.604-1.374-2.9781.75
Marcus Bagley-0.5530.5940.0411.078

Walker's the guy who stands out, though obviously small sample size alert for him. Aside from Juzang, the others look like pretty ordinary late first round wing types, though that could obviously change for better or for worse.

Dalen Terry, Josiah Jordan-James, and Jaime Jaquez are three more wings I'm keeping an eye on. Also EJ Liddell and Prkacin, as more PF-adjacent wings.
 
OffDefTotUncertainty
Bennedict Mathurin0.978-0.0080.971.453
Jabari Walker1.1081.8672.9751.517
Keegan Murray-0.7661.0880.3221.966
Julian Champagnie0.862-1.182-0.322.129
Matthew Mayer0.443-0.0190.4242.611
Johnny Juzang-1.604-1.374-2.9781.75
Marcus Bagley-0.5530.5940.0411.078

Walker's the guy who stands out, though obviously small sample size alert for him. Aside from Juzang, the others look like pretty ordinary late first round wing types, though that could obviously change for better or for worse.

Dalen Terry, Josiah Jordan-James, and Jaime Jaquez are three more wings I'm keeping an eye on. Also EJ Liddell and Prkacin, as more PF-adjacent wings.

Johnny Juzang looks *very* bad in your model, no?
 
Johnny Juzang looks *very* bad in your model, no?

Yup. Of course, it's not giving any special consideration to his great tournament games. But he does seem like a one-dimensional shooter who's probably going to be below average at everything else compared to typical NBA wings.
 
Walker ( just based on highlights) has a chance to stick in the Nba because he is long and has an easy release. He is not going to wow you with athletic traits but he is smooth with his movement. Seems like a guy who could develop into a quality role player. I am not sure the upside is huge, might just be a bench guy in the nba but the Cavs could def use a guy like him moving forward.
 
I wonder if my boy Tubelis has any chance of rising to the beginning of the 2nd round, or even late first?

 
So much changes but today, I think the absolute ideal roster fit is Houstan.

Relative to his projected range and the range the Cavs likely draft in, could be a pretty nice match of BPA and fit.


Maybe the SF version of Klay.
 
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