I expect the Bucks to struggle in November due to a brutal schedule and high turnover on the roster. If they make it out of November within a game or two of .500, I'll be happy and will have no doubt that they'll finish with 47+wins. Our frontcourt talent/depth is ridiculous at this point. Point gaurd and shooting gaurd aren't bad either. Come to think of it, our small forward is pretty good too.
Here are the center rankings from CBS Sportsline. And you think I'm crazy...
1. Shaquille O'Neal, Miami: Now 33, O'Neal signed a five-year extension that almost certainly guarantees he'll end his career in South Florida. He passed on an additional $25 million dollars in order to ensure the Heat would be able to surround him with a better supporting cast to chase a championship, his lone motivation on the court these days. O'Neal wants to bring down bad guys when his playing days are over, but before that time comes, he hopes to hang a couple banners in the rafters at AmericanAirlines Arena. As long as he stays healthy and in shape, that goal will always be in reach.
2. Amare Stoudemire, Phoenix: During last year's playoffs, no one was more impressive. No one. He took it to Tim Duncan in the Western Conference finals, dominating in all facets. Considering his jumper is coming along, he'll soon be unguardable, combining imposing physicality with finesse skills. Nasty. Best of all, the kid has the special gift of doing whatever it takes, extending his ceiling when necessary. If he were O'Neal's size, he'd be the best player in the game already. Despite that, don't count against him getting to that level over the next few years.
3. Chris Bosh, Toronto: It's easy to forget he only spent a single season in college, and his development in the pros has been a steady progression to super-stardom. If it weren't for him, the Raptors would be the league's most hopeless franchise, but they had better surround him with significant talent soon. He'll line up out of position at center this season, allowing the team to play rookie Charlie Villanueva at the four, but there's no question he's best suited playing a Kevin Garnett-type power forward role. Thanks to the NBA's rookie/sophomore event, he has been a part of the past two All-Star weekends, and he told me he plans on making himself a fixture. To do so, he'll have to gain enough attention to be selected by Eastern Conference coaches, which seems like a mere formality given his progress.
4. Ben Wallace, Detroit: Still the most gifted post defender in the game, Big Ben has made a living doing what few others will -- concentrating on the little things that help you win, from always being in position to monopolizing the boards. He's a saner, bigger version of Dennis Rodman, which allows him to give up three inches to most centers and still take them out of their comfort zone. On offense, he has mostly gotten by on put-backs and dunks, but to his credit, he has expanded his repertoire to the point where he can now consistently knock down short jumpers, making him even more of an asset. New coach Flip Saunders will enjoy his gifts after a decade in Minnesota without a competent center.
5. Yao Ming, Houston: We're still waiting on him to take his game to the next level. At 7-feet-5, he needs to dominate, needs to assert himself as a force, and as he enters year No. 4 in the NBA, he has showed only flashes of those abilities. Consider that in the Chinese League, he averaged over 19 rebounds in each of his last two seasons before coming over, scoring about 30 per game. While the level of competition is obviously much tougher here, he should still be breaking the 20 point-10 rebound barrier. With Tracy McGrady taking some of the pressure off him, he should step up and embrace the advantages his size and skill level afford him.
6. Marcus Camby, Denver: He has stayed healthy most of the past two seasons, missing fewer than 20 games each year. While that might not be satisfactory for most, it has to be considered a victory for Camby, considering the two seasons represent the most action he has seen in his nine-year career. With him anchoring the defense, Denver turned into a juggernaut under George Karl, fueled by his double-doubles and formidable shot-blocking presence. He was definitely the Nuggets' most valuable player last season and will have reprise his role for the team to live up to expectations, which now include a Northwest Division title.
7. Dwight Howard, Orlando: Howard was the player whose ranking required the most deliberation. He's still a kid, only 19, and although he's best suited for a power forward role, the Magic plan on playing him at the pivot more this year, envisioning him filling a Stoudemire-type role as they look to push the tempo. He's nowhere close to fulfilling his potential, still lacking go-to post moves and relying heavily on his remarkable athleticism. That was good enough to get him 12 points and 10 boards as a rookie, coming without the benefit of any respect from the refs, which will no doubt come in year No. 2. He's one of the league's future superstars. Of that, there should be no question.
8. Jamaal Magloire, New Orleans/Oklahoma City: The Canadian is a former All-Star but missed 59 games last season with a broken finger that completely destroyed the Hornets' season. The team almost parted ways with him on draft day but now envisions him and new point guard Chris Paul combining to bring the team back toward respectability. Magloire's skill isn't overwhelming, but he does everything particularly well and never takes a night off. He should rebound this year, health permitting.
9. Brad Miller, Sacramento: He works hard, facilitates offense with his superb understanding of the game and substantial passing skills, scores and rebounds. What else can you want? Although he's not as physically strong as many other centers, he holds his own and compensates through effort. Limited to just 56 games by injury a year ago, Miller is looking to bounce back and should form a formidable post combination alongside new acquisition Shareef Abdur-Rahim.
10. Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Cleveland: He's finally shed the oft-injured tag after three consecutive seasons playing 78 games or more, overcoming the foot problems that derailed him earlier in his career. The Cavs rewarded him with a new contract, giving LeBron James and Larry Hughes a post threat to help free them up. Ilgauskas, despite being 7-3, is a finesse center, able to fill it up with jump hooks and crafty footwork in the paint. The Lithuanian should enhance his reputation this postseason as Cleveland ends its playoff drought.
11. Eddy Curry, Chicago: After finally appearing comfortable in his own skin, Curry's breakout season was ended by a heart abnormality, a condition that will cast doubt on his effectiveness for the remainder of his career. It's not like he has bad knees or tender ankles -- a questionable ticker is a haunting reminder of our vulnerability. Hopefully, he's able to persevere; the 7-footer is just beginning to scratch the surface of his abilities.
12. Andrew Bogut, Milwaukee: The highest-ranked rookie in any of the positional rankings, Bogut should have the biggest impact of any of this year's first-year players. His size and the fact he's a legitimate center aren't his only attributes; he not only dominated in college, but also in international events. The Bucks hit the lottery, literally, in securing his services, finding a player who not only fit their needs but wants to be in Milwaukee as part of its rebuilding process. He'll be able to hold his own in the post from Day 1, bringing a Brad Miller-type game to the table.[/quote]
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We've been speculating all summer. It's almost gametime now.
