I don't have a clue what they are thinking is realistic tbh since so much seems to depend on the realized potential of players drafted later and if they will eventually fit with him. He could play disgruntled if they bench him
though I guess after not agreeing. I think if they don't agree to anything and he is losing money in a lesser role. esp if he is not given usage reps or some crap it is not going to end well for the Cavs or him.
I think unless they have him in the starting 5 long term or want a 6th man of the year candidate then they won't offer enough to impress his agent, but anything is possible if the man really likes the direction of the team. I have him valued at 4 year 28,31,33,36 with trade kicker and all nba 5% bonus if achieved if they wait for him to get RFA offers and have to match after this season, assuming he plays better than last season yet again. I think right now an extension signed should be closer to 5 year 25,28,30,32,34 so about 5/150.
I would not think what he has proven on a bad team is indicative of what he will be able to do with better spacing, and defenders in the same rotation, so given that he may bet on himself using those new weapons to "earn" a much better paycheck than what is currently offered assuming it is closer to 5/125 because of their uncertainty of who else they will have to pay to keep etc.
Then they could anticipate he will take full advantage of said teammates and be well worth a near max extension and he will get paid in a lot of respects what will look like an overpay but turn out to be fair or better value.
I would have more confidence in him earning a near max deal and being worth paying based on his unknown future production if I knew how committed to everyone else they were, but I don't think they know, how could they at this point?
Now watch them sign him to 5/170 and this board go up in flames lol